Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33832451›Full record

ArticleBMC public health2021

Impact of immediate initiation of antiretroviral therapy among men who have sex with men infected with HIV in Chengdu, southwest China: trends analysis, 2008-2018.

Chenyao Wu, Baiyang Zhang, Zhen Dai, Qianwen Zheng, Zhenhua Duan, Qinying He, Cairong Zhu

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC public health, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
0.7field-weighted citation impact, top 27% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 16 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Chenyao WuDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, West China School of Public Health and West China Fourth Hospital, Sichuan University, 610041 No. 17 Section 3, Renmin South Road, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.
Baiyang ZhangDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, West China School of Public Health and West China Fourth Hospital, Sichuan University, 610041 No. 17 Section 3, Renmin South Road, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.
Zhen DaiDepartment of AIDS&STD Control and Prevention, Chengdu Center for Disease Control and Prevention, 610041 No. 4 Longxiang Road, Sichuan, Chengdu, China.
Qianwen ZhengDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, West China School of Public Health and West China Fourth Hospital, Sichuan University, 610041 No. 17 Section 3, Renmin South Road, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.
Zhenhua DuanDepartment of AIDS&STD Control and Prevention, Chengdu Center for Disease Control and Prevention, 610041 No. 4 Longxiang Road, Sichuan, Chengdu, China.
Qinying HeDepartment of AIDS&STD Control and Prevention, Chengdu Center for Disease Control and Prevention, 610041 No. 4 Longxiang Road, Sichuan, Chengdu, China. 78004693@qq.com.
Cairong ZhuDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, West China School of Public Health and West China Fourth Hospital, Sichuan University, 610041 No. 17 Section 3, Renmin South Road, Chengdu, Sichuan, China. cairong.zhu@hotmail.com.
West China Medical Center of Sichuan University · CNChengdu Center for Disease Control and Prevention · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundGiven the rampant HIV epidemic among men who have sex with men (MSM) in Chengdu, southwest China, Treat All policy, defined as immediate antiretroviral therapy (ART) initiation after HIV diagnosis, was implemented since 2014. Real-world research evaluating impacts of immediate ART on HIV epidemics is needed to optimize policy-making as national and international guidelines have been lowering ART eligibility threshold. The purpose of this study is to: assess temporal trends of the HIV epidemic and impacts of Treat All policy among MSM; and lay foundation for HIV-related policy evaluation using longitudinal routine data from health information systems.

methodsData used in this study were HIV sentinel seroprevalence, annual reported HIV cases and ART coverage rate among MSM in Chengdu from 2008 to 2018, derived from national HIV/AIDS information system. Temporal trends of the HIV epidemic were described using Joinpoint Regression Program. Interrupted time-series method was deployed to evaluate Treat All policy.

resultsHIV sentinel seroprevalence rose from 11.20% in 2008 to 17.67% in 2013 and Annual Percent Change (APC) was 8.25% (95% CI - 2.40%, 20.07%), then decreased to 5.17% in 2018 (APC = - 19.63%, 95% CI - 27.54%, - 10.86%). Newly reported HIV cases increased from 168 cases in 2008 to 1232 cases in 2015 (APC = 26.99%, 95% CI 21.32%, 32.93%), and reduced to 1014 cases in 2018 (APC = - 8.80%, 95% CI - 18.45%, 2.01%). ART coverage rate has been climbing from 11.11% in 2008 to 92.29% in 2018 and Average Annual Percent Change was 16.09% (95% CI 11.76%, 20.59%). Results of interrupted time-series models showed that compared to an annual increase of 0.87% during pre-policy period, there was a decline of 3.08% (95% CI - 0.0366%, - 0.0250%) per year of HIV sentinel seroprevalence since 2014; and compared to an annual increase of 116 cases before 2014, there was an annual drop of 158 newly reported HIV cases (95% CI - 194.87%, - 121.69%) during the post-policy period.

conclusionsImmediate ART after HIV diagnosis could potentially curb HIV transmission at population level among MSM, along with other strategies. Future assessment of HIV prevention and control policy can be carried out using routinely collected longitudinal data from health information systems.

Indexed as

HIV InfectionsSexual and Gender MinoritiesChinaHomosexuality, MaleHumansMaleSeroepidemiologic StudiesAntiretroviral therapy, highly activeHealth policyHIV infectionsHIV seroprevalenceHomosexuality, maleInterrupted time series analysis

Identifiers

PMID33832451
PMCPMC8034144
OpenAlexW3147724966

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.