ArticleApplied mathematics and computation2021
Short-term predictions and prevention strategies for COVID-19: A model-based study.
Article in Applied mathematics and computation, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 48 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
48 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 129 citations in OpenAlex.
- Effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions as implemented in the UK during the COVID-19 pandemic: a rapid review.Journal of public health (Oxford, England) · 2025Pooled it
- Enhancing COVID-19 forecasts with a lightweight multi-head depthwise separable convolution network.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Hybrid modeling and forecasting of COVID-19: integrating SEAIQHRD and GPR for improved predictions.BMC infectious diseases · 2026Article
- Mathematical models to characterize the early phase of the COVID-19 pandemic in New Mexico, USA.Mathematical biosciences and engineering : MBE · 2025Article
- A six-compartment model for COVID-19 with transmission dynamics and public health strategies.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Enhancing COVID-19 forecasting precision through the integration of compartmental models, machine learning and variants.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Non-pharmaceutical interventions to reduce COVID-19 transmission in the UK: a rapid mapping review and interactive evidence gap map.Journal of public health (Oxford, England) · 2024Review
- Country-report pattern corrections of new cases allow accurate 2-week predictions of COVID-19 evolution with the Gompertz model.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Stability analysis and optimal control of a fractional-order generalized SEIR model for the COVID-19 pandemic.Applied mathematics and computation · 2023Article
- Predicting COVID-19 positivity and hospitalization with multi-scale graph neural networks.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Uncertainty Quantification for Epidemic Risk Management: Case of SARS-CoV-2 in Morocco.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023Article
- Global Dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 Infection with Antibody Response and the Impact of Impulsive Drug Therapy.Vaccines · 2022Article
- Socio-economic analysis of short-term trends of COVID-19: modeling and data analytics.BMC public health · 2022Article
- Identifying influential spreaders in complex networks for disease spread and control.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- A method for forecasting the number of hospitalized and deceased based on the number of newly infected during a pandemic.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- The impact of vaccination on the spread of COVID-19: Studying by a mathematical model.Physica A · 2022Article
- Fractional dynamical probes in COVID-19 model with control interventions: a comparative assessment of eight most affected countries.European physical journal plus · 2022Article
- Global Analysis and Optimal Control Model of COVID-19.Computational and mathematical methods in medicine · 2022Article
- Dynamical demeanour of SARS-CoV-2 virus undergoing immune response mechanism in COVID-19 pandemic.The European physical journal. Special topics · 2022Article
- Mathematical modelling for decision making of lockdown during COVID-19.Applied intelligence (Dordrecht, Netherlands) · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
3 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
An outbreak of respiratory disease caused by a novel coronavirus is ongoing from December 2019. As of December 14, 2020, it has caused an epidemic outbreak with more than 73 million confirmed infections and above 1.5 million reported deaths worldwide. During this period of an epidemic when human-to-human transmission is established and reported cases of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) are rising worldwide, investigation of control strategies and forecasting are necessary for health care planning. In this study, we propose and analyze a compartmental epidemic model of COVID-19 to predict and control the outbreak. The basic reproduction number and the control reproduction number are calculated analytically. A detailed stability analysis of the model is performed to observe the dynamics of the system. We calibrated the proposed model to fit daily data from the United Kingdom (UK) where the situation is still alarming. Our findings suggest that independent self-sustaining human-to-human spread (
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.