Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33824003›Full record

ArticleAtherosclerosis2021

Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events among statin eligible individuals with and without long-term healthy arterial aging.

Alexander C Razavi, Tanika N Kelly, Matthew J Budoff, Lydia A Bazzano, Jiang He, Camilo Fernandez, Joao Lima, Khurram Nasir, Roger S Blumenthal, Michael J Blaha and 1 more

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Atherosclerosis, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
3.3field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 18 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Trial
  2. LDL-cholesterol lowering: timing is everything.American journal of preventive cardiology · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Alexander C RazaviDepartment of Medicine, Tulane University School of Medicine, New Orleans, LA, United States; Department of Epidemiology, Tulane University School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, New Orleans, LA, United States.
Tanika N KellyDepartment of Medicine, Tulane University School of Medicine, New Orleans, LA, United States.
Matthew J BudoffLos Angeles Biomedical Research Center, Torrance, CA, United States.
Lydia A BazzanoDepartment of Medicine, Tulane University School of Medicine, New Orleans, LA, United States; Department of Epidemiology, Tulane University School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, New Orleans, LA, United States.
Jiang HeDepartment of Medicine, Tulane University School of Medicine, New Orleans, LA, United States; Department of Epidemiology, Tulane University School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, New Orleans, LA, United States.
Camilo FernandezDepartment of Medicine, Tulane University School of Medicine, New Orleans, LA, United States; Department of Epidemiology, Tulane University School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, New Orleans, LA, United States.
Joao LimaJohns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Division of Cardiology, Baltimore, MD, United States.
Khurram NasirDivision of Cardiovascular Prevention and Wellness, Houston Methodist DeBakey Heart and Vascular Center, Houston, TX, United States.
Roger S BlumenthalThe Ciccarone Center for the Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, United States.
Michael J BlahaThe Ciccarone Center for the Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, United States.
Seamus P WheltonThe Ciccarone Center for the Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, United States. Electronic address: seamus.whelton@jhmi.edu.
Tulane University · USJohns Hopkins University · USHouston Methodist · USThe Lundquist Institute · US

Funding

Institute for Clinical and Translational Research (UL1)UL1RR025005 · NCRR · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI FORD, DANIEL ERNEST · 2007 to 2011
$75.8M
Tracking & Evaluation CoreU54GM104940 · NIGMS · LSU PENNINGTON BIOMEDICAL RESEARCH CTR · PI JUDD E SHELLITO · 2012 to 2026
$69.1M
Institute for Clinical and Translational ResearchUL1TR001079 · NCATS · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI FORD, DANIEL ERNEST · 2013 to 2017
$60.1M
Clinical and Translational Science AwardUL1TR000040 · NCATS · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI GINSBERG, HENRY N · 2012 to 2015
$26.2M
Ventricular Size and Valve Calcification Measures by CTR01HL071739 · NHLBI · LUNDQUIST INSTITUTE FOR BIOMEDICAL INNOVATION AT HARBOR-UCLA MEDICAL CENTER · PI BUDOFF, MATTHEW J · 2003 to 2010
$2.0M
Cigarette Smoke and Susceptibility to Influenza InfectionR01HL095163 · NHLBI · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI JASPERS, ILONA, NOAH, TERRY L · 2009 to 2013
$2.0M
Adjunctive Use of Apyrase to Fibrinolytic TherapyR44HL095169 · NHLBI · APT THERAPEUTICS, INC. · PI CHEN, RIDONG · 2012 to 2013
$1.3M
SUBCLINICAL CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE STUDYN01HC095166 · HC · UNIVERSITY OF VERMONT &ST AGRIC COLLEGE · PI TRACY, RUSSELL P · 1999 to 2001
$758k
SUBCLINICAL CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE STUDY-FIELD CENTERN01HC095162 · HC · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI SZKLO, MOYSES A · 1999 to 2000
$694k
SUBCLINICAL CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE STUDY--FIELD CENTERN01HC095161 · HC · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI SHEA, STEVEN · 1999 to 2001
$642k
SUBCLINICAL CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE STUDY--FIELD CENTERN01HC095165 · HC · WAKE FOREST UNIVERSITY · PI BURKE, GREGORY L · 1999 to 2001
$616k
SUBCLINICAL CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE STUDY--FIELD CENTERN01HC095160 · HC · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI SAAD, MOHAMMED F · 1999 to 2001
$592k
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000040NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001079NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR025005NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095159NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095160NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095161NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095162NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095163NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095164NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095165NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095166NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095167NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095168NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095169NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL071739NIGMS NIH HHS U54 GM104940
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimsA large proportion of statin eligible candidates have a baseline absence of coronary artery calcium (CAC) and low 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk. We sought to determine the proportion of statin eligible individuals who had long-term healthy arterial aging (persistent CAC = 0) and their examined 15-year ASCVD outcomes.

methodsWe included 561 statin eligible candidates from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis who were not on statin therapy with CAC = 0 at Visit 1 (2000-02) and underwent a subsequent CAC scan at Visit 5 (2010-11). Adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression assessed the association between persistent CAC = 0 and ASCVD events over 15.9 years.

resultsParticipants were on average 61.7 years old, 50% were women, and 43% maintained long-term CAC = 0. Individuals with an LDL-C ≥190 mg/dL (54%) and those with an ASCVD risk ≥20% (33%) had the highest and lowest proportion of persistent CAC = 0, respectively. There were 57 ASCVD events, and 15-year ASCVD event rates were low for individuals with and without healthy arterial aging (4.3 versus 8.6 per 1,000 persons-years), but the 10-year number needed to treat to prevent one ASCVD event differed by more than two fold (117 versus 54). In multivariable modeling, persistent CAC = 0 conferred a 51% lower risk of ASCVD compared to those with incident CAC (HR = 0.49, 95% CI: 0.27-0.90, p=0.02).

conclusionsMore than 40% of statin eligible individuals with baseline CAC = 0 had long-term healthy arterial aging. Statin eligible candidates with persistent CAC = 0 had a very low 15-year ASCVD risk, suggesting that statin therapy may be of limited benefit among this group of individuals.

Indexed as

AtherosclerosisCardiovascular DiseasesCoronary Artery DiseaseHydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase InhibitorsVascular CalcificationAgingFemaleHumansMiddle AgedRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsHydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase InhibitorsAgingCardiovascular diseasesCoronary artery calciumMultidetector computed tomographyPreventionStatins

Identifiers

PMID33824003
PMCPMC8215721
OpenAlexW3144242723

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.