Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33823125›Full record

ArticleBosnian journal of basic medical sciences2021

Construction and verification of prognostic nomogram for early-onset esophageal cancer.

Xiaoxiao Liu, Wei Guo, Xiaobo Shi, Yue Ke, Yuxing Li, Shupei Pan, Yingying Jin, Yuchen Wang, Qinli Ruan, Hongbing Ma

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Bosnian journal of basic medical sciences, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Nomograms for prognosis prediction in esophageal adenocarcinoma: realities and challenges.Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2025
    Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
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  13. [Efficacy of machine learning modelsNan fang yi ke da xue xue bao = Journal of Southern Medical University · 2023
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Xiaoxiao LiuDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Xi'an Jiaotong University Second Affiliated Hospital, Shaanxi, China.
Wei GuoDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Xi'an Jiaotong University Second Affiliated Hospital, Shaanxi, China.
Xiaobo ShiDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Xi'an Jiaotong University Second Affiliated Hospital, Shaanxi, China.
Yue KeDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Xi'an Jiaotong University Second Affiliated Hospital, Shaanxi, China.
Yuxing LiDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Xi'an Jiaotong University Second Affiliated Hospital, Shaanxi, China.
Shupei PanDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Xi'an Jiaotong University Second Affiliated Hospital, Shaanxi, China.
Yingying JinDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Xi'an Jiaotong University Second Affiliated Hospital, Shaanxi, China.
Yuchen WangDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Xi'an Jiaotong University Second Affiliated Hospital, Shaanxi, China.
Qinli RuanDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Xi'an Jiaotong University Second Affiliated Hospital, Shaanxi, China.
Hongbing MaDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Xi'an Jiaotong University Second Affiliated Hospital, Shaanxi, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study aimed to build up nomogram models to evaluate overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) in early-onset esophageal cancer (EOEC). Patients diagnosed with esophageal cancer (EC) from 2004 to 2015 were extracted from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. Clinicopathological characteristics of younger versus older patients were compared, and survival analysis was performed in both groups. Independent related factors influencing the prognosis of EOEC were identified by univariate and multivariate Cox analysis, which were incorporated to construct a nomogram. The predictive capability of the nomogram was estimated by the concordance index (C-index), calibration plot, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA). A total of 534 younger and 17,243 older patients were available from the SEER database. Younger patients were randomly segmented into a training set (n = 266) and a validation set (n = 268). In terms of the training set, the C-index of the OS nomogram was 0.740 (95% CI: 0.707-0.773), and that of the CSS nomogram was 0.752 (95% CI: 0.719-0.785). In view of the validation set, the C-index of OS and CSS were 0.706 (95% CI: 0.671-0.741) and 0.723 (95% CI: 0.690-0.756), respectively. Calibration curves demonstrated the consistent degree of fit between actual and predicted values in nomogram models. From the perspective of DCA, the nomogram models were more beneficial than the tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) and the SEER stage for EOEC. In brief, the nomogram model can be considered as an individualized quantitative tool to predict the prognosis of EOEC patients to assist clinicians in making treatment decisions.

Indexed as

NomogramsAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsChinaEsophageal NeoplasmsFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasm StagingPrognosisRisk FactorsSEER ProgramUnited States

Identifiers

PMID33823125
PMCPMC8554706

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.