Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33822107›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of infectious diseases2021

Risk Estimation of Sexual Transmission of Zika Virus-United States, 2016-2017.

Chelsea G Major, Gabriela Paz-Bailey, Susan L Hills, Dania M Rodriguez, Brad J Biggerstaff, Michael Johansson

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of infectious diseases, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
2.6field-weighted citation impact, top 11% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 17 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Chelsea G MajorDivision of Vector-Borne Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, San Juan, Puerto Rico, USA.
Gabriela Paz-BaileyDivision of Vector-Borne Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, San Juan, Puerto Rico, USA.
Susan L HillsDivision of Vector-Borne Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Fort Collins, Colorado, USA.
Dania M RodriguezDivision of Vector-Borne Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, San Juan, Puerto Rico, USA.
Brad J BiggerstaffDivision of Vector-Borne Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Fort Collins, Colorado, USA.
Michael JohanssonDivision of Vector-Borne Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, San Juan, Puerto Rico, USA.
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention · USPuerto Rico Department of Health · PR

Funding

Intramural CDC HHS CC999999
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundZika virus (ZIKV) can be transmitted sexually but the risk of sexual transmission remains unknown. Most evidence of sexual transmission is from partners of infected travelers returning from areas with ZIKV circulation.

methodsWe used data from the US national arboviral disease surveillance system on travel- and sexually acquired ZIKV disease cases during 2016-2017 to develop individual-level simulations for estimating risk of male-to-female, male-to-male, and female-to-male sexual transmission of ZIKV via vaginal and/or anal intercourse. We specified parametric distributions to characterize individual-level variability of parameters for ZIKV persistence and sexual behaviors.

resultsUsing ZIKV RNA persistence in semen/vaginal fluids to approximate infectiousness duration, male-to-male transmission had the highest estimated probability (1.3% [95% confidence interval, CI, .4%-6.0%] per anal sex act), followed by male-to-female and female-to-male transmission (0.4% [95% CI, .3%-.6%] per vaginal/anal sex act and 0.1% [95% CI, 0%-.8%] per vaginal sex act, respectively). Models using viral isolation in semen vs RNA detection to approximate infectiousness duration predicted greater risk of sexual transmission.

conclusionsWhile likely insufficient to maintain sustained transmission, the estimated risk of ZIKV transmission through unprotected sex is not trivial and is especially important for pregnant women, as ZIKV infection can cause severe congenital disorders.

Indexed as

Zika VirusZika Virus InfectionFemaleHumansMalePregnancyRNASemenTravelUnited StatesRNArisk estimationsexual transmissionsimulation modelZika

Identifiers

PMID33822107
PMCPMC10015296
OpenAlexW3149401615

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.