Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33819261›Full record

ArticlePloS one2021

COVID-IRS: A novel predictive score for risk of invasive mechanical ventilation in patients with COVID-19.

José Antonio Garcia-Gordillo, Antonio Camiro-Zúñiga, Mercedes Aguilar-Soto, Dalia Cuenca, Arturo Cadena-Fernández, Latife Salame Khouri, Jesica Naanous Rayek, Moises Mercado, ARMII Study Group

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.1field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 36 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

José Antonio Garcia-GordilloInternal Medicine Department, The American British Cowdray Medical Center, Mexico City, Mexico.
Antonio Camiro-ZúñigaInternal Medicine Department, The American British Cowdray Medical Center, Mexico City, Mexico.ORCID 0000-0003-0957-9509
Mercedes Aguilar-SotoInternal Medicine Department, The American British Cowdray Medical Center, Mexico City, Mexico.ORCID 0000-0002-3522-8406
Dalia CuencaInternal Medicine Department, The American British Cowdray Medical Center, Mexico City, Mexico.
Arturo Cadena-FernándezInternal Medicine Department, The American British Cowdray Medical Center, Mexico City, Mexico.ORCID 0000-0001-6125-6286
Latife Salame KhouriInternal Medicine Department, The American British Cowdray Medical Center, Mexico City, Mexico.
Jesica Naanous RayekInternal Medicine Department, The American British Cowdray Medical Center, Mexico City, Mexico.
Moises MercadoResearch Unit in Endocrine Diseases, Hospital de Especialidades, Centro Médico Nacional Siglo XXI, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico.ORCID 0000-0002-4748-9734
ARMII Study Group
Centro Médico ABC · MXMexican Social Security Institute · MX

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a systemic disease that can rapidly progress into acute respiratory failure and death. Timely identification of these patients is crucial for a proper administration of health-care resources.

objectiveTo develop a predictive score that estimates the risk of invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) among patients with COVID-19. STUDY

designRetrospective cohort study of 401 COVID-19 patients diagnosed from March 12, to August 10, 2020. The score development cohort comprised 211 patients (52.62% of total sample) whereas the validation cohort included 190 patients (47.38% of total sample). We divided participants according to the need of invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) and looked for potential predictive variables.

resultsWe developed two predictive scores, one based on Interleukin-6 (IL-6) and the other one on the Neutrophil/Lymphocyte ratio (NLR), using the following variables: respiratory rate, SpO2/FiO2 ratio and lactic dehydrogenase (LDH). The area under the curve (AUC) in the development cohort was 0.877 (0.823-0.931) using the NLR based score and 0.891 (0.843-0.939) using the IL-6 based score. When compared with other similar scores developed for the prediction of adverse outcomes in COVID-19, the COVID-IRS scores proved to be superior in the prediction of IMV.

conclusionThe COVID-IRS scores accurately predict the need for mechanical ventilation in COVID-19 patients using readily available variables taken upon admission. More studies testing the applicability of COVID-IRS in other centers and populations, as well as its performance as a triage tool for COVID-19 patients are needed.

Indexed as

HospitalizationIntubationRespiration, ArtificialAdultAgedBiomarkersCOVID-19FemaleHumansInterleukin-6MaleMexicoMiddle AgedNeutrophilsRespiratory RateRetrospective StudiesBiomarkersIL6 protein, humanInterleukin-6

Identifiers

PMID33819261
PMCPMC8021150
OpenAlexW3150177493

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.