Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33814653›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Statistical Association2021

Off-Policy Estimation of Long-Term Average Outcomes with Applications to Mobile Health.

Peng Liao, Predrag Klasnja, Susan Murphy

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Informing the Design of Individualized Self-Management Regimens from the Human, Data, and Machine Learning Perspectives.ACM transactions on computer-human interaction : a publication of the Association for Computing Machinery · 2025
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Optimizing Contingency Management with Reinforcement Learning.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2024
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Analyzing Patient Trajectories With Artificial Intelligence.Journal of medical Internet research · 2021
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Peng LiaoDepartment of Statistics, University of Michigan.
Predrag KlasnjaSchool of Information, University of Michigan.
Susan MurphyDepartment of Statistics, Harvard University.

Funding

Pilot and Mentoring CoreP50DA054039 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI LINDA M COLLINS, SUSAN A MURPHY · 2021 to 2026
$18.2M
Pilot, Mentoring, and Professional Development CoreP50DA039838 · NIDA · PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIVERSITY, THE · PI LI, RUNZE · 2015 to 2019
$13.9M
TRAINING U54EB020404 · NIBIB · UNIVERSITY OF MEMPHIS · PI KUMAR, SANTOSH · 2014 to 2018
$11.3M
TR&D3 - Rapid Translation of AI-powered Temporally Precise mHealth Interventions via Efficient and Embeddable Trustworthy Biomarker ImplementationsP41EB028242 · NIBIB · UNIVERSITY OF MEMPHIS · PI Santosh Kumar · 2020 to 2026
$9.5M
Novel Methods for Intensive Longitudinal Data in SMART Studies of Drug Abuse and HIVR01DA039901 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI ALMIRALL, DANIEL, NAHUM-SHANI, INBAL BILLIE · 2015 to 2024
$5.4M
Heart Steps: Adaptive mHealth intervention for physical-activity maintenanceR01HL125440 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Predrag Klasnja · 2015 to 2026
$3.8M
Novel use of mHealth data to identify states of vulnerability and receptivity to JITAIs SupplementU01CA229437 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI NAHUM-SHANI, INBAL BILLIE, WETTER, DAVID W · 2018 to 2022
$2.8M
Data-Based Methods for Just-In-Time Adaptive Interventions in Alcohol UseR01AA023187 · NIAAA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI MURPHY, SUSAN A · 2015 to 2019
$2.6M
NCI NIH HHS U01 CA229437NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL125440NIAAA NIH HHS R01 AA023187NIBIB NIH HHS P41 EB028242NIBIB NIH HHS U54 EB020404NIDA NIH HHS P50 DA039838NIDA NIH HHS P50 DA054039NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA039901
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Due to the recent advancements in wearables and sensing technology, health scientists are increasingly developing mobile health (mHealth) interventions. In mHealth interventions, mobile devices are used to deliver treatment to individuals as they go about their daily lives. These treatments are generally designed to impact a near time, proximal outcome such as stress or physical activity. The mHealth intervention policies, often called just-in-time adaptive interventions, are decision rules that map a individual's current state (e.g., individual's past behaviors as well as current observations of time, location, social activity, stress and urges to smoke) to a particular treatment at each of many time points. The vast majority of current mHealth interventions deploy expert-derived policies. In this paper, we provide an approach for conducting inference about the performance of one or more such policies using historical data collected under a possibly different policy. Our measure of performance is the average of proximal outcomes over a long time period should the particular mHealth policy be followed. We provide an estimator as well as confidence intervals. This work is motivated by HeartSteps, an mHealth physical activity intervention.

Indexed as

markov decision processpolicy evaluationreinforcement learningsequential decision making

Identifiers

PMID33814653
PMCPMC8014957

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.