Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33814652›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Statistical Association2019

Bayesian Model Search for Nonstationary Periodic Time Series.

Beniamino Hadj-Amar, Bärbel Finkenstädt Rand, Mark Fiecas, Francis Lévi, Robert Huckstepp

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Beniamino Hadj-AmarDepartment of Statistics, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.
Bärbel Finkenstädt RandDepartment of Statistics, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.
Mark FiecasDivision of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN.
Francis LéviWarwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.
Robert HucksteppSchool of Life Sciences, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/M013170/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We propose a novel Bayesian methodology for analyzing nonstationary time series that exhibit oscillatory behavior. We approximate the time series using a piecewise oscillatory model with unknown periodicities, where our goal is to estimate the change-points while simultaneously identifying the potentially changing periodicities in the data. Our proposed methodology is based on a trans-dimensional Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm that simultaneously updates the change-points and the periodicities relevant to any segment between them. We show that the proposed methodology successfully identifies time changing oscillatory behavior in two applications which are relevant to e-Health and sleep research, namely the occurrence of ultradian oscillations in human skin temperature during the time of night rest, and the detection of instances of sleep apnea in plethysmographic respiratory traces. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.

Indexed as

Bayesian spectral analysisChange-pointsReversible-jump MCMCSleep apneaUltradian sleep cycles

Identifiers

PMID33814652
PMCPMC7984273

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.