ArticleInfection, genetics and evolution : journal of molecular epidemiology and evolutionary genetics in infectious diseases2021
Predictive analysis of COVID-19 eradication with vaccination in India, Brazil, and U.S.A.
Article in Infection, genetics and evolution : journal of molecular epidemiology and evolutionary genetics in infectious diseases, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.
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Who cites it
13 citing papers in PubMed, 25 citations in OpenAlex.
- Optimization Modeling for Pandemic Vaccine Supply Chain Management: A Review and Future Research Opportunities.Naval research logistics · 2024Article
- Incorporating social determinants of health into transmission modeling of COVID-19 vaccine in the US: a scoping review.Lancet regional health. Americas · 2024Article
- Taiwan ended third COVID-19 community outbreak as forecasted.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- COVID-19 Pandemic: Did Strict Mobility Restrictions Save Lives and Healthcare Costs in Maharashtra, India?Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Article
- Estimation and sensitivity analysis of a COVID-19 model considering the use of face mask and vaccination.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Nesting the SIRV model with NAR, LSTM and statistical methods to fit and predict COVID-19 epidemic trend in Africa.BMC public health · 2023Article
- Dynamic transmission modeling of COVID-19 to support decision-making in Brazil: A scoping review in the pre-vaccine era.PLOS global public health · 2023Article
- An agent-based nested model integrating within-host and between-host mechanisms to predict an epidemic.PloS one · 2023Article
- Observational
- COVID-19 vaccine distribution planning using a congested queuing system-A real case from Australia.Transportation research. Part E, Logistics and transportation review · 2022Article
- Mathematical Modeling to Predict COVID-19 Infection and Vaccination Trends.Journal of clinical medicine · 2022Article
- Efficacy versus abundancy: Comparing vaccination schemes.PloS one · 2022Article
- Effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines and their challenges (Review).Experimental and therapeutic medicine · 2021Review
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
2 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The most important question and concern in these circumstances of COVID-19 epidemic outspread is when will the pandemic end? Vaccination is the only solution to restore life to normalcy in the fastest and safest possible manner. Therefore, we have carried out a predictive analysis for realistic timescale estimates for overcoming the epidemic considering vaccination rate effect on the dynamics of COVID-19 control. In particular we discuss the worst affected large countries like India, Brazil and USA for estimating effect of vaccination rate in expediting the end of the COVID-19 epidemic. We analytically simulated the dynamic evolution of active cases of these countries in the last nine months using the modified SIR model and then included the effect of vaccination to forecast the proliferation dynamics. We hence obtained the transmission parameters, the variation in the reproduction numbers and the impact of the different values of the vaccination shots in the expected curves of active cases in the coming times to predicted the timescales of the end of the epidemic.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.