Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33798211›Full record

SynthesisPloS one2021

Comparison of seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 infections with cumulative and imputed COVID-19 cases: Systematic review.

Oyungerel Byambasuren, Claudia C Dobler, Katy Bell, Diana Patricia Rojas, Justin Clark, Mary-Louise McLaws, Paul Glasziou

Abstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in PloS one, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 59 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
59citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

59 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Update on SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence: regional and worldwide.Clinical microbiology and infection : the official publication of the European Society of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases · 2021
    Pooled it
  3. Guideline
  4. Pooled it
  5. Trial
  6. Trial
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. The role of evidence-based medicine in the media: misinformation and the COVID-19 lesson.European respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society · 2025
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Observational
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Oyungerel ByambasurenInstitute for Evidence-Based Healthcare, Bond University, Gold Coast, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-8641-1286
Claudia C DoblerInstitute for Evidence-Based Healthcare, Bond University, Gold Coast, Australia.
Katy BellSchool of Public Health, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-0137-3218
Diana Patricia RojasCollege of Public Health, Medical and Veterinary Sciences, Division of Tropical Health & Medicine, James Cook University, North Queensland, Australia.
Justin ClarkInstitute for Evidence-Based Healthcare, Bond University, Gold Coast, Australia.
Mary-Louise McLawsSchool of Public Health and Community Medicine, UNSW Sydney, Kensington, Australia.
Paul GlasziouInstitute for Evidence-Based Healthcare, Bond University, Gold Coast, Australia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAccurate seroprevalence estimates of SARS-CoV-2 in different populations could clarify the extent to which current testing strategies are identifying all active infection, and hence the true magnitude and spread of the infection. Our primary objective was to identify valid seroprevalence studies of SARS-CoV-2 infection and compare their estimates with the reported, and imputed, COVID-19 case rates within the same population at the same time point.

methodsWe searched PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane COVID-19 trials, and Europe-PMC for published studies and pre-prints that reported anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgG, IgM and/or IgA antibodies for serosurveys of the general community from 1 Jan to 12 Aug 2020.

resultsOf the 2199 studies identified, 170 were assessed for full text and 17 studies representing 15 regions and 118,297 subjects were includable. The seroprevalence proportions in 8 studies ranged between 1%-10%, with 5 studies under 1%, and 4 over 10%-from the notably hard-hit regions of Gangelt, Germany; Northwest Iran; Buenos Aires, Argentina; and Stockholm, Sweden. For seropositive cases who were not previously identified as COVID-19 cases, the majority had prior COVID-like symptoms. The estimated seroprevalences ranged from 0.56-717 times greater than the number of reported cumulative cases-half of the studies reported greater than 10 times more SARS-CoV-2 infections than the cumulative number of cases.

conclusionsThe findings show SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence is well below "herd immunity" in all countries studied. The estimated number of infections, however, were much greater than the number of reported cases and deaths in almost all locations. The majority of seropositive people reported prior COVID-like symptoms, suggesting that undertesting of symptomatic people may be causing a substantial under-ascertainment of SARS-CoV-2 infections.

Indexed as

COVID-19AdolescentAdultAgedAntibodies, ViralArgentinaFemaleGermanyHumansImmunity, HerdImmunoglobulin IsotypesIncidenceIranMaleMiddle AgedSeroepidemiologic StudiesAntibodies, ViralImmunoglobulin Isotypes

Identifiers

PMID33798211
PMCPMC8018669

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.