Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33795353›Full record

ArticleEvidence-based mental health2021

Prediction of treatment dosage and duration from free-text prescriptions: an application to ADHD medications in the Swedish prescribed drug register.

Le Zhang, Tyra Lagerberg, Qi Chen, Laura Ghirardi, Brian M D'Onofrio, Henrik Larsson, Alexander Viktorin, Zheng Chang

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Evidence-based mental health, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
3.8field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 25 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Le Zhang *Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden le.zhang@ki.se.ORCID 0000-0002-7290-5103
Tyra Lagerberg *Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden.
Qi ChenDepartment of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden.
Laura GhirardiDepartment of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden.
Brian M D'OnofrioDepartment of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden.
Henrik LarssonDepartment of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden.
Alexander ViktorinDepartment of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden.
Zheng ChangDepartment of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden.
Karolinska Institutet · SEÖrebro University · SE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAccurate estimation of daily dosage and duration of medication use is essential to pharmacoepidemiological studies using electronic healthcare databases. However, such information is not directly available in many prescription databases, including the Swedish Prescribed Drug Register.

objectiveTo develop and validate an algorithm for predicting prescribed daily dosage and treatment duration from free-text prescriptions, and apply the algorithm to ADHD medication prescriptions.

methodsWe developed an algorithm to predict daily dosage from free-text prescriptions using 8000 ADHD medication prescriptions as the training sample, and estimated treatment periods while taking into account several features including titration, stockpiling and non-perfect adherence. The algorithm was implemented to all ADHD medication prescriptions from the Swedish Prescribed Drug Register in 2013. A validation sample of 1000 ADHD medication prescriptions, independent of the training sample, was used to assess the accuracy for predicted daily dosage.

findingsIn the validation sample, the overall accuracy for predicting daily dosage was 96.8%. Specifically, the natural language processing model (NLP1 and NLP2) have an accuracy of 99.2% and 96.3%, respectively. In an application to ADHD medication prescriptions in 2013, young adult ADHD medication users had the highest probability of discontinuing treatments as compared with other age groups. The daily dose of methylphenidate use increased with age substantially.

conclusionsThe algorithm provides a flexible approach to estimate prescribed daily dosage and treatment duration from free-text prescriptions using register data. The algorithm showed a good performance for predicting daily dosage in external validation. CLINICAL IMPLICATIONS: The structured output of the algorithm could serve as basis for future pharmacoepidemiological studies evaluating utilization, effectiveness, and safety of medication use, which would facilitate evidence-based treatment decision-making.

Indexed as

Attention Deficit Disorder with HyperactivityMethylphenidateDrug PrescriptionsHumansSwedenYoung AdultMethylphenidate

Identifiers

PMID33795353
PMCPMC8543229
OpenAlexW3143020822

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.