Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33794881›Full record

ArticleBMC medicine2021

Cost-effectiveness modelling to optimise active screening strategy for gambiense human African trypanosomiasis in endemic areas of the Democratic Republic of Congo.

Christopher N Davis, Kat S Rock, Marina Antillón, Erick Mwamba Miaka, Matt J Keeling

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
1.8field-weighted citation impact, top 15% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 14 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. A modelling analysis of a new multi-stage pathway for classifying achievement of public health milestones for leprosy.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2023
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. ModellingJournal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2021
    Article
  7. Modelling to Quantify the Likelihood that Local Elimination of Transmission has Occurred Using Routine Gambiense Human African Trypanosomiasis Surveillance Data.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2021
    Article
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 3 institutions in 3 countries.

Christopher N DavisMathematics Institute, University of Warwick, Coventry, CV4 7AL, UK. c.davis.7@warwick.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0003-2665-0127
Kat S RockMathematics Institute, University of Warwick, Coventry, CV4 7AL, UK.
Marina AntillónSwiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Socinstrasse 57, Basel, 4051, Switzerland.
Erick Mwamba MiakaProgramme National de Lutte contre la Trypanosomiase Humaine Africaine (PNLTHA), Ave Coisement Liberation et Bd Triomphal No 1, Commune de Kasavubu, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo.
Matt J KeelingMathematics Institute, University of Warwick, Coventry, CV4 7AL, UK.
University of Warwick · GBProgramme National Multisectoriel de Lutte contre le sida · CDSwiss Tropical and Public Health Institute · CH

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundGambiense human African trypanosomiasis (gHAT) has been brought under control recently with village-based active screening playing a major role in case reduction. In the approach to elimination, we investigate how to optimise active screening in villages in the Democratic Republic of Congo, such that the expenses of screening programmes can be efficiently allocated whilst continuing to avert morbidity and mortality.

methodsWe implement a cost-effectiveness analysis using a stochastic gHAT infection model for a range of active screening strategies and, in conjunction with a cost model, we calculate the net monetary benefit (NMB) of each strategy. We focus on the high-endemicity health zone of Kwamouth in the Democratic Republic of Congo.

resultsHigh-coverage active screening strategies, occurring approximately annually, attain the highest NMB. For realistic screening at 55% coverage, annual screening is cost-effective at very low willingness-to-pay thresholds (<DOLLAR/>20.4 per disability adjusted life year (DALY) averted), only marginally higher than biennial screening (<DOLLAR/>14.6 per DALY averted). We find that, for strategies stopping after 1, 2 or 3 years of zero case reporting, the expected cost-benefits are very similar.

conclusionsWe highlight the current recommended strategy-annual screening with three years of zero case reporting before stopping active screening-is likely cost-effective, in addition to providing valuable information on whether transmission has been interrupted.

Indexed as

Trypanosomiasis, AfricanAnimalsCost-Benefit AnalysisDemocratic Republic of the CongoHumansMass ScreeningTrypanosoma brucei gambienseAfrican sleeping sicknessAfrican trypanosomiasisCost-effectivenessMathematical model

Identifiers

PMID33794881
PMCPMC8017623
OpenAlexW3142883991

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.