ArticlePloS one2021
A comprehensive analysis of COVID-19 transmission and mortality rates at the county level in the United States considering socio-demographics, health indicators, mobility trends and health care infrastructure attributes.
Article in PloS one, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers.
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Who cites it
27 citing papers in PubMed, 42 citations in OpenAlex.
- The Role of Testing and Vaccination in Mediating Social Vulnerability and COVID-19 Prevalence in Southern Nevada.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2025Article
- Understanding excess mortality during COVID in Belgium: the influence of pre-existing health status and social factors.Archives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique · 2025Article
- Modeling the health impact of increasing vaccine coverage and nonpharmaceutical interventions against coronavirus disease 2019 in Ghana.Pathogens and global health · 2024Article
- Spatio-temporal epidemiology and associated indicators of COVID-19 (wave-I and II) in India.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Evolving patterns of COVID-19 mortality in US counties: A longitudinal study of healthcare, socioeconomic, and vaccination associations.PLOS global public health · 2024Article
- A novel maximum likelihood based probabilistic behavioral data fusion algorithm for modeling residential energy consumption.PloS one · 2024Article
- Longitudinal assessment of demographic representativeness in the Medical Imaging and Data Resource Center open data commons.Journal of medical imaging (Bellingham, Wash.) · 2023Article
- The Effectiveness of Mobility Restrictions on Controlling the Spread of COVID-19 in a Resistant Population.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023Article
- Mental and social burden of COVID-19 on the Iraqi people.The International journal of social psychiatry · 2023Article
- Assessing the role of collectivism and individualism on COVID-19 beliefs and behaviors in the Southeastern United States.PloS one · 2023Article
- COVID-19 mortality rate determinants in selected Eastern European countries.BMC public health · 2022Article
- Socioeconomic Deprivation, Sleep Duration, and Mental Health during the First Year of the COVID-19 Pandemic.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Predicting COVID-19 county-level case number trend by combining demographic characteristics and social distancing policies.JAMIA open · 2022Article
- COVID-19 Infections and Mortality in Florida Counties: Roles of Race, Ethnicity, Segregation, and 2020 Election Results.Journal of racial and ethnic health disparities · 2022Article
- Urban Determinants of COVID-19 Spread: a Comparative Study across Three Cities in New York State.Journal of urban health : bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine · 2022Article
- Longitudinal changes in depression and anxiety during COVID-19 crisis in Uruguay.Current psychology (New Brunswick, N.J.) · 2022Article
- Associations between the COVID-19 Pandemic and Hospital Infrastructure Adaptation and Planning-A Scoping Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- An airport level framework for examining the impact of COVID-19 on airline demand.Transportation research. Part A, Policy and practice · 2022Article
- Socio-Economic, Demographic and Health Determinants of the COVID-19 Outbreak.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Article
- The evolving roles of US political partisanship and social vulnerability in the COVID-19 pandemic from February 2020-February 2021.PLOS global public health · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
4 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundSeveral research efforts have evaluated the impact of various factors including a) socio-demographics, (b) health indicators, (c) mobility trends, and (d) health care infrastructure attributes on COVID-19 transmission and mortality rate. However, earlier research focused only on a subset of variable groups (predominantly one or two) that can contribute to the COVID-19 transmission/mortality rate. The current study effort is designed to remedy this by analyzing COVID-19 transmission/mortality rates considering a comprehensive set of factors in a unified framework. METHODS AND
findingsWe study two per capita dependent variables: (1) daily COVID-19 transmission rates and (2) total COVID-19 mortality rates. The first variable is modeled using a linear mixed model while the later dimension is analyzed using a linear regression approach. The model results are augmented with a sensitivity analysis to predict the impact of mobility restrictions at a county level. Several county level factors including proportion of African-Americans, income inequality, health indicators associated with Asthma, Cancer, HIV and heart disease, percentage of stay at home individuals, testing infrastructure and Intensive Care Unit capacity impact transmission and/or mortality rates. From the policy analysis, we find that enforcing a stay at home order that can ensure a 50% stay at home rate can result in a potential reduction of about 33% in daily cases.
conclusionsThe model framework developed can be employed by government agencies to evaluate the influence of reduced mobility on transmission rates at a county level while accommodating for various county specific factors. Based on our policy analysis, the study findings support a county level stay at home order for regions currently experiencing a surge in transmission. The model framework can also be employed to identify vulnerable counties that need to be prioritized based on health indicators for current support and/or preferential vaccination plans (when available).
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.