Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33790392›Full record

Observational studyScientific reports2021

Prediction of response of methotrexate in patients with rheumatoid arthritis using serum lipidomics.

Mateusz Maciejewski, Caroline Sands, Nisha Nair, Stephanie Ling, Suzanne Verstappen, Kimme Hyrich, Anne Barton, Daniel Ziemek, Matthew R Lewis, Darren Plant

Open access · goldAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Scientific reports, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed
4.6field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 36 citations in OpenAlex.

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  15. Lipid metabolism and rheumatoid arthritis.Frontiers in immunology · 2023
    Review
  16. Perfluorocarbons: A perspective of theranostic applications and challenges.Frontiers in bioengineering and biotechnology · 2023
    Review
  17. Article
  18. Review
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 6 institutions in 2 countries.

Mateusz Maciejewski *Computational Systems Immunology, Worldwide Research and Development, Pfizer Inc., New York, USA.
Caroline Sands *National Phenome Centre, Department of Metabolism, Digestion and Reproduction, Imperial College London, London, W12 0NN, UK.
Nisha NairVersus Arthritis Centre for Genetics and Genomics, Centre for Musculoskeletal Research, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, The University of Manchester, Oxford Road, Manchester, M13 9PT, UK.
Stephanie LingVersus Arthritis Centre for Genetics and Genomics, Centre for Musculoskeletal Research, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, The University of Manchester, Oxford Road, Manchester, M13 9PT, UK.
Suzanne VerstappenNIHR Manchester Biomedical Research Centre, Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Oxford Road, Manchester, M13 9WL, UK.
Kimme HyrichNIHR Manchester Biomedical Research Centre, Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Oxford Road, Manchester, M13 9WL, UK.
Anne BartonVersus Arthritis Centre for Genetics and Genomics, Centre for Musculoskeletal Research, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, The University of Manchester, Oxford Road, Manchester, M13 9PT, UK.
Daniel ZiemekComputational Systems Immunology, Worldwide Research and Development, Pfizer Inc., New York, USA.
Matthew R Lewis *National Phenome Centre, Department of Metabolism, Digestion and Reproduction, Imperial College London, London, W12 0NN, UK.
Darren Plant *Versus Arthritis Centre for Genetics and Genomics, Centre for Musculoskeletal Research, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, The University of Manchester, Oxford Road, Manchester, M13 9PT, UK. darren.plant@manchester.ac.uk.
Imperial College London · GBManchester Academic Health Science Centre · GBManchester University NHS Foundation Trust · GBPfizer (United States) · USNIHR Manchester Biomedical Research Centre · GBVersus Arthritis · GB

Funding

Medical Research Council MC_PC_12025Medical Research Council MR/K015346/1Versus Arthritis 20380Versus Arthritis 20385Versus Arthritis 20670
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Methotrexate (MTX) is a common first-line treatment for new-onset rheumatoid arthritis (RA). However, MTX is ineffective for 30-40% of patients and there is no way to know which patients might benefit. Here, we built statistical models based on serum lipid levels measured at two time-points (pre-treatment and following 4 weeks on-drug) to investigate if MTX response (by 6 months) could be predicted. Patients about to commence MTX treatment for the first time were selected from the Rheumatoid Arthritis Medication Study (RAMS). Patients were categorised as good or non-responders following 6 months on-drug using EULAR response criteria. Serum lipids were measured using ultra-performance liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry and supervised machine learning methods (including regularized regression, support vector machine and random forest) were used to predict EULAR response. Models including lipid levels were compared to models including clinical covariates alone. The best performing classifier including lipid levels (assessed at 4 weeks) was constructed using regularized regression (ROC AUC 0.61 ± 0.02). However, the clinical covariate based model outperformed the classifier including lipid levels when either pre- or on-treatment time-points were investigated (ROC AUC 0.68 ± 0.02). Pre- or early-treatment serum lipid profiles are unlikely to inform classification of MTX response by 6 months with performance adequate for use in RA clinical management.

Indexed as

LipidomicsAdultAgedArthritis, RheumatoidFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansLipidsMaleMethotrexateMiddle AgedProspective StudiesLipidsMethotrexate

Identifiers

PMID33790392
PMCPMC8012618
OpenAlexW3144153671

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.