Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33782396›Full record

ArticleNature communications2021

Implications of the school-household network structure on SARS-CoV-2 transmission under school reopening strategies in England.

James D Munday, Katharine Sherratt, Sophie Meakin, Akira Endo, Carl A B Pearson, Joel Hellewell, Sam Abbott, Nikos I Bosse, CMMID COVID-19 Working Group, Katherine E Atkins and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
26citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

26 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Measures implemented in the school setting to contain the COVID-19 pandemicThe Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2022
    Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. A dashboard for the evaluation of the effect of school closures on wellbeing of children and parents.Archives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique · 2023
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Do the Benefits of School Closure Outweigh Its Costs?International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

James D MundayCentre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK. james.munday@lshtm.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0002-6206-7134
Katharine SherrattCentre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Sophie MeakinCentre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Akira EndoCentre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Carl A B PearsonCentre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Joel HellewellCentre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Sam AbbottCentre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Nikos I BosseCentre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-7750-5280
CMMID COVID-19 Working Group
Katherine E AtkinsCentre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Jacco WallingaNational Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, The Netherlands.
W John EdmundsCentre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Albert Jan van Hoek *Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Sebastian Funk *Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-2842-3406

Funding

Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council BB/M009513/1Department of Health 16/136/46Department of Health 16/137/109Department of Health HPRU-2012-10096Department of Health NIHR200929Department of Health PR-OD-1017-20002Medical Research Council MC_PC_19065Medical Research Council MR/N013638/1Medical Research Council MR/P014658/1Medical Research Council MR/S003975/1Wellcome Trust 206250/Z/17/ZWellcome Trust 206471/Z/17/ZWellcome Trust 208812/Z/17/ZWellcome Trust 210758/Z/18/ZWellcome Trust 221303/Z/20/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In early 2020 many countries closed schools to mitigate the spread of SARS-CoV-2. Since then, governments have sought to relax the closures, engendering a need to understand associated risks. Using address records, we construct a network of schools in England connected through pupils who share households. We evaluate the risk of transmission between schools under different reopening scenarios. We show that whilst reopening select year-groups causes low risk of large-scale transmission, reopening secondary schools could result in outbreaks affecting up to 2.5 million households if unmitigated, highlighting the importance of careful monitoring and within-school infection control to avoid further school closures or other restrictions.

Indexed as

Family CharacteristicsAdolescentChildChild, PreschoolCOVID-19Disease Transmission, InfectiousEnglandHumansPandemicsRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsSARS-CoV-2Schools

Identifiers

PMID33782396
PMCPMC8007691

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.