Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33782080›Full record

ArticleThorax2021

Impact of COVID-19 national lockdown on asthma exacerbations: interrupted time-series analysis of English primary care data.

Syed A Shah, Jennifer K Quint, Bright I Nwaru, Aziz Sheikh

Erratum issuedOpen access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Thorax, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 65 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
65citing papers in PubMed
7.6field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

65 citing papers in PubMed, 95 citations in OpenAlex.

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  5. Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on adult asthma-related health care utilization.The journal of allergy and clinical immunology. Global · 2026
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  7. Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Adult Asthma-Related Healthcare Utilization.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025
    Article
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5 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Syed A ShahAsthma UK Centre for Applied Research, Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK Ahmar.Shah@ed.ac.uk.
Jennifer K QuintNational Heart & Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-0149-4869
Bright I NwaruAsthma UK Centre for Applied Research, Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-2876-6089
Aziz SheikhAsthma UK Centre for Applied Research, Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Institute of Occupational Medicine · GBImperial College London · GB

Funding

Medical Research Council MC_PC_19004Medical Research Council MC_PC_19075Medical Research Council MR/S019669/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe impact of COVID-19 and ensuing national lockdown on asthma exacerbations is unclear.

methodsWe conducted an interrupted time-series (lockdown on 23 March 2020 as point of interruption) analysis in asthma cohort identified using a validated algorithm from a national-level primary care database, the Optimum Patient Care Database. We derived asthma exacerbation rates for every week and compared exacerbation rates in the period: January to August 2020 with a pre-COVID-19 period and January to August 2016-2019. Exacerbations were defined as asthma-related hospital attendance/admission (including accident and emergency visit), or an acute course of oral corticosteroids with evidence of respiratory review, as recorded in primary care. We used a generalised least squares modelling approach and stratified the analyses by age, sex, English region and healthcare setting.

resultsFrom a database of 9 949 387 patients, there were 100 165 patients with asthma who experienced at least one exacerbation during 2016-2020. Of 278 996 exacerbation episodes, 49 938 (17.9%) required hospital visit. Comparing pre-lockdown to post-lockdown period, we observed a statistically significant reduction in the level (-0.196 episodes per person-year; p<0.001; almost 20 episodes for every 100 patients with asthma per year) of exacerbation rates across all patients. The reductions in level in stratified analyses were: 0.005-0.244 (healthcare setting, only those without hospital attendance/admission were significant), 0.210-0.277 (sex), 0.159-0.367 (age), 0.068-0.590 (region).

conclusionsThere has been a significant reduction in attendance to primary care for asthma exacerbations during the pandemic. This reduction was observed in all age groups, both sexes and across most regions in England.

Indexed as

Disease ProgressionSymptom Flare UpAdministration, OralAdolescentAdrenal Cortex HormonesAdultAsthmaCOVID-19Emergency Service, HospitalEnglandFemaleHumansInterrupted Time Series AnalysisMaleMiddle AgedPatient AdmissionAdrenal Cortex Hormonesasthmaasthma epidemiologyCOVID-19

Identifiers

PMID33782080
PMCPMC8011425
OpenAlexW3140761865

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.