Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33781216›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2021

Role of interleukin 6 as a predictive factor for a severe course of Covid-19: retrospective data analysis of patients from a long-term care facility during Covid-19 outbreak.

P Sabaka, A Koščálová, I Straka, J Hodosy, R Lipták, B Kmotorková, M Kachlíková, A Kušnírová

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 67 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
67citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
8.3field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

67 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 136 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
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  4. PCSK9 Inhibition During the Inflammatory Stage of SARS-CoV-2 Infection.Journal of the American College of Cardiology · 2023
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  17. The Prognostic Utility of Cytokines in Hospitalized COVID-19 Patients.Journal of critical care medicine (Universitatea de Medicina si Farmacie din Targu-Mures) · 2023
    Article
  18. Article
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  20. Article

7 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

P SabakaDepartment of Infectology and Geographical Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Comenius University in Bratislava, Bratislava, Slovakia. petersabaka@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9337-8843
A KoščálováDepartment of Infectology and Geographical Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Slovak Medical University, Bratislava, Slovakia.
I Straka2nd Department of Neurology, Faculty of Medicine, Comenius University in Bratislava, Bratislava, Slovakia.
J HodosyEmergency Department, University Hospital in Bratislava, Bratislava, Slovakia.
R LiptákEmergency Department, University Hospital in Bratislava, Bratislava, Slovakia.
B KmotorkováDepartment of Infectology and Geographical Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Comenius University in Bratislava, Bratislava, Slovakia.
M KachlíkováDepartment of Infectology and Geographical Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Comenius University in Bratislava, Bratislava, Slovakia.
A Kušnírová2nd Department of Neurology, Faculty of Medicine, Comenius University in Bratislava, Bratislava, Slovakia.
Comenius University Bratislava · SKUniversity Hospital Bratislava · SKSlovak Medical University · SK

Funding

Agentúra na Podporu Výskumu a Vývoja APVV-18-0287
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCovid-19 is a disease with high morbidity and mortality among elderly residents of long-term care facilities (LTCF). During an outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 infection in the LTCF an effective screening tool is essential to identify the patients at risk for severe disease. We explored the role of interleukin 6 (IL-6) as a predictor for severe disease during the outbreak of Covid-19 in one LTCF in Slovakia.

methodsWe conducted a retrospective data analysis of cases of COVID-19, diagnosed during the outbreak in one LTCF in Slovakia between April 11, 2020, and May 5, 2020. Within 24 h after the diagnosis of Covid-19, clinical and laboratory screening was performed in the LTCF to identify patients in need of hospitalization. Patients with oxygen saturation below 90% were immediately referred to the hospital. Patients staying in the LFTC were monitored daily and those that developed hypoxemia were transferred to the hospital. We analyzed the association between the IL-6 at the initial assessment and development of hypoxemia during follow up and determined the cut-off of the IL-6 able to predict the development of hypoxemia requiring oxygen therapy.

resultsFifty-three patients (11 men, 42 women) with diagnosed Covid-19 were included in the analysis. 19 (53%) patients developed hypoxemia during the disease. Patients with hypoxemia had significantly higher concentrations of IL-6, C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, fibrinogen, total bilirubin, aspartate aminotransferase and alanine aminotransferase at initial screening. ROC analyses identified IL-6 as the most robust predictor of hypoxemia. The concentration of IL-6 > 24 pg/mL predicted the development of hypoxemia with the sensitivity of 100% and specificity of 88.9%. The positive and negative predictive values were 76.9, and 100% respectively.

conclusionsThe concentration of IL-6 > 24 pg/mL at initial assessment predicted the development of hypoxemia requiring hospitalization with excellent sensitivity and good specificity. IL-6 appears as a potential predictor for the development of the severe Covid-19 and might serve for early identification of patients in need of hospitalization. Further studies are needed to evaluate the robustness of the use of IL-6 as an effective screening tool for the severe course of Covid-19.

Indexed as

Long-Term CareSARS-CoV-2AgedAged, 80 and overCOVID-19Disease OutbreaksFemaleHospitalizationHumansInterleukin-6MaleRetrospective StudiesSeverity of Illness IndexInterleukin-6Covid-19HypoxemiaInterleukin 6Long-term care facility

Identifiers

PMID33781216
PMCPMC8006112
OpenAlexW3113110940

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.