Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33776429›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

The Impact of Exacerbation Frequency on Clinical and Economic Outcomes in Swedish COPD Patients: The ARCTIC Study.

Kjell Larsson, Christer Janson, Karin Lisspers, Björn Ställberg, Gunnar Johansson, Florian S Gutzwiller, Karen Mezzi, Bine Kjoeller Bjerregaard, Leif Jorgensen

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. InhaledEuropean respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society · 2024
    Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Observational
  7. The Burden of COPD with Type 2 Inflammation in North-West Continental Europe.International journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease · 2025
    Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Disease Trajectories and Impact of One Moderate Exacerbation in Gold B COPD Patients.International journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Kjell LarssonIntegrative Toxicology, The National Institute of Environmental Medicine, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden.
Christer JansonDepartment of Medical Sciences: Respiratory, Allergy and Sleep Research, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0001-5093-6980
Karin LisspersDepartment of Public Health and Caring Sciences, Family Medicine and Preventive Medicine, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-3107-4462
Björn StällbergDepartment of Public Health and Caring Sciences, Family Medicine and Preventive Medicine, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0001-8497-7326
Gunnar JohanssonDepartment of Public Health and Caring Sciences, Family Medicine and Preventive Medicine, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0001-9351-3881
Florian S GutzwillerNovartis Pharma AG, Global Patient Access, Basel, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-7754-5744
Karen MezziNovartis Pharma AG, Global Patient Access, Basel, Switzerland.
Bine Kjoeller BjerregaardIQVIA Solutions, Real World Evidence Solutions, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Leif JorgensenIQVIA Solutions, Real World Evidence Solutions, Copenhagen, Denmark.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeThe aim of this study was to assess the association between exacerbation frequency and clinical and economic outcomes in patients with COPD. PATIENTS AND

methodsElectronic medical record data linked to National Health Registries were collected from COPD patients at 52 Swedish primary care centers (2000-2014). The outcomes analyzed were exacerbation rate, mortality, COPD treatments, lung function and healthcare costs during the follow-up period. Based on the exacerbation rate two years before index date, the patients were initially classified into three groups, either 0, 1 or ≥2 exacerbations per year. After the index date, the classification into exacerbation groups was updated each year based on the exacerbation rate during the last year of follow-up. A sensitivity analysis was conducted excluding patients with asthma diagnosis from the analysis.

resultsIn total 18,586 COPD patients were analyzed. A majority of the patients (60-70%) who either have had no exacerbation or frequent exacerbations (≥2/year) during the pre-index period remained in their group (ie, with 0 or ≥2 annual exacerbations) during up to 11 years of follow-up. Compared with having no exacerbation, mortality was higher in patients having 1 (HR; 2.06 [1.93-2.20]) and ≥2 (4.58 [4.33-4.84]) exacerbations at any time during the follow-up. Lung function decline was more rapid in patients with frequent exacerbations and there was an almost linear relationship between exacerbations frequency and mortality. Total healthcare costs were higher in the frequent exacerbation group (≥2/year) than in patients with no or one exacerbation annually (p<0.0001 for both). The results did not differ from the main analysis after exclusion of patients with a concurrent asthma diagnosis.

conclusionIn addition to faster lung function decline and increased mortality, frequent exacerbations in COPD patients imply a significant economic burden.

Indexed as

Pulmonary Disease, Chronic ObstructiveDisease ProgressionHealth Care CostsHumansSwedenTime Factorschronic obstructive pulmonary diseaseexacerbationshealthcare costlung functionmortalitySweden

Identifiers

PMID33776429
PMCPMC7987259

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.