Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33776250›Full record

ArticleChaos, solitons, and fractals2021

Sensitivity assessment and optimal economic evaluation of a new COVID-19 compartmental epidemic model with control interventions.

Joshua Kiddy K Asamoah, Zhen Jin, Gui-Quan Sun, Baba Seidu, Ernest Yankson, Afeez Abidemi, F T Oduro, Stephen E Moore, Eric Okyere

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Chaos, solitons, and fractals, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 37 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
37citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

37 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  11. Studying of COVID-19 fractional model: Stability analysis.Partial differential equations in applied mathematics : a spin-off of Applied Mathematics Letters · 2023
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
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  15. Construction and Simulation Analysis of Epidemic Propagation Model Based on COVID-19 Characteristics.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Article
  16. Fractal-fractional age-structure study of omicron SARS-CoV-2 variant transmission dynamics.Partial differential equations in applied mathematics : a spin-off of Applied Mathematics Letters · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Joshua Kiddy K AsamoahComplex Systems Research Center, Shanxi University, Taiyuan 030006, PR China.
Zhen JinComplex Systems Research Center, Shanxi University, Taiyuan 030006, PR China.
Gui-Quan SunComplex Systems Research Center, Shanxi University, Taiyuan 030006, PR China.
Baba SeiduDepartment of Mathematics, C. K. Tedam University of Technology and Applied Sciences, Navrongo, Ghana.
Ernest YanksonDepartment of Mathematics, University of Cape Coast, Cape Coast, Ghana.
Afeez AbidemiDepartment of Mathematical Sciences, Federal University of Technology, Akure, P.M.B. 704, Ondo State, Nigeria.
F T OduroAfrican Institute for Mathematical Sciences, Accra, Ghana.
Stephen E MooreDepartment of Mathematics, University of Cape Coast, Cape Coast, Ghana.
Eric OkyereDepartment of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Energy and Natural Resources, Sunyani, Ghana.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Optimal economic evaluation is pivotal in prioritising the implementation of non-pharmaceutical and pharmaceutical interventions in the control of diseases. Governments, decision-makers and policy-makers broadly need information about the effectiveness of a control intervention concerning its cost-benefit to evaluate whether a control intervention offers the best value for money. The outbreak of COVID-19 in December 2019, and the eventual spread to other parts of the world, have pushed governments and health authorities to take drastic socioeconomic, sociocultural and sociopolitical measures to curb the spread of the virus, SARS-CoV-2. To help policy-makers, health authorities and governments, we propose a Susceptible, Exposed, Asymptomatic, Quarantined asymptomatic, Severely infected, Hospitalized, Recovered, Recovered asymptomatic, Deceased, and Protective susceptible (individuals who observe health protocols) compartmental structure to describe the dynamics of COVID-19. We fit the model to real data from Ghana and Egypt to estimate model parameters using standard incidence rate. Projections for disease control and sensitivity analysis are presented using MATLAB. We noticed that multiple peaks (waves) of COVID-19 for Ghana and Egypt can be prevented if stringent health protocols are implemented for a long time and/or the reluctant behaviour on the use of protective equipment by individuals are minimized. The sensitivity analysis suggests that: the rate of diagnoses and testing, the rate of quarantine through doubling enhanced contact tracing, adhering to physical distancing, adhering to wearing of nose masks, sanitizing-washing hands, media education remains the most effective measures in reducing the control reproduction number

Indexed as

Cost-effectiveness analysisCOVID-19 modelHospitalizationMathematical epidemiologyOptimal control analysisQuarantine

Identifiers

PMID33776250
PMCPMC7980175

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.