Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33767190›Full record

ArticleNPJ breast cancer2021

Circulating tumor DNA and magnetic resonance imaging to predict neoadjuvant chemotherapy response and recurrence risk.

Mark Jesus M Magbanua, Wen Li, Denise M Wolf, Christina Yau, Gillian L Hirst, Lamorna Brown Swigart, David C Newitt, Jessica Gibbs, Amy L Delson, Ekaterina Kalashnikova and 7 more

Registry-linked trialOpen access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in NPJ breast cancer, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT06087120 (Investigate the Prognostic and Predictive Value of Circulating Tumor DNA), which is not on this map. Cited by 39 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
39citing papers in PubMed
3.4field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT06087120 recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2023, after this paper: background citation

Investigate the Prognostic and Predictive Value of Circulating Tumor DNA (ctDNA) During Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy for Breast Cancer.

TypeobservationalSponsorGene SolutionsRan2023 to 2025Enrolled125ConditionsBreast Cancer Female, Stage II Breast Cancer, Stage III Breast Cancer, HER2-positive Breast Cancer
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

39 citing papers in PubMed, 51 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Early HPV ctDNA Kinetics and Imaging Biomarkers Predict Therapeutic Response in p16+ Oropharyngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma.Clinical cancer research : an official journal of the American Association for Cancer Research · 2022
    Trial
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. The Prognostic and Predictive Impact of ctDNA Levels in Patients with Advanced Breast Cancer Enrolled on the plasmaMATCH Trial.Clinical cancer research : an official journal of the American Association for Cancer Research · 2026
    Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. The impact of radiogenomics on breast cancer.American journal of cancer research · 2025
    Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. Cell-free DNA Concentration as a Biomarker of Response and Recurrence in HER2-Negative Breast Cancer Receiving Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy.Clinical cancer research : an official journal of the American Association for Cancer Research · 2024
    Article
  18. Tumor biomarkers for diagnosis, prognosis and targeted therapy.Signal transduction and targeted therapy · 2024
    Review
  19. Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Mark Jesus M MagbanuaDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA. mark.magbanua@ucsf.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2113-3593
Wen LiDepartment of Radiology and Biomedical Imaging, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA. wen.li@ucsf.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6584-363X
Denise M WolfDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Christina YauDepartment of Surgery, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1937-0859
Gillian L HirstDepartment of Surgery, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4502-0035
Lamorna Brown SwigartDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2076-5177
David C NewittDepartment of Radiology and Biomedical Imaging, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1735-6682
Jessica GibbsDepartment of Radiology and Biomedical Imaging, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Amy L DelsonBreast Science Advocacy Core, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Ekaterina KalashnikovaNatera Inc., San Ramon, CA, USA.
Alexey AleshinNatera Inc., San Ramon, CA, USA.
Bernhard ZimmermannNatera Inc., San Ramon, CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5275-4571
A Jo ChienDivision of Hematology Oncology, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Debu TripathyDepartment of Breast Medical Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5711-2404
Laura EssermanDepartment of Surgery, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9202-4568
Nola HyltonDepartment of Radiology and Biomedical Imaging, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA. nola.hylton@ucsf.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6747-1662
Laura van 't VeerDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA. laura.vantveer@ucsf.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9838-8298
University of California, San Francisco · USNatera (United States) · USThe University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center · US

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI Nicholas D Socci · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
USC/NORRIS COMPREHENSIVE CANCER CENTER (CORE) SUPPORTP30CA014089 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI Fumito Ito · 1985 to 2026
$181.4M
The I SPY 2.2 TRIAL: Evolving to Imaging and Molecular Biomarker Response Directed Adaptive Sequential Treatment to Optimize Breast Cancer OutcomesP01CA210961 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI Nola M. Hylton-Watson · 2017 to 2026
$22.9M
Real-time In Vivo MRI Biomarkers for Breast Cancer Pre-Operative Treatment TrialsR01CA132870 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI HYLTON-WATSON, NOLA M., NEWITT, DAVID C · 2008 to 2019
$4.8M
Strategy for combining circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) measures of tumor burden for prediction of response and outcome in neoadjuvant-treated early breast cancerR01CA255442 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI LI, WEN, MAGBANUA, MARK JESUS · 2021 to 2025
$3.3M
Quantitative Imaging for Assessing Breast Cancer Response to TreatmentU01CA225427 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI HYLTON-WATSON, NOLA M. · 2018 to 2022
$3.2M
NCI NIH HHS P01 CA210961NCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748NCI NIH HHS P30 CA014089NCI NIH HHS R01 CA132870NCI NIH HHS R01 CA255442NCI NIH HHS U01 CA225427
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We investigated whether serial measurements of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) and functional tumor volume (FTV) by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) can be combined to improve prediction of pathologic complete response (pCR) and estimation of recurrence risk in early breast cancer patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC). We examined correlations between ctDNA and FTV, evaluated the additive value of ctDNA to FTV-based predictors of pCR using area under the curve (AUC) analysis, and analyzed the impact of FTV and ctDNA on distant recurrence-free survival (DRFS) using Cox regressions. The levels of ctDNA (mean tumor molecules/mL plasma) were significantly correlated with FTV at all time points (p < 0.05). Median FTV in ctDNA-positive patients was significantly higher compared to those who were ctDNA-negative (p < 0.05). FTV and ctDNA trajectories in individual patients showed a general decrease during NAC. Exploratory analysis showed that adding ctDNA information early during treatment to FTV-based predictors resulted in numerical but not statistically significant improvements in performance for pCR prediction (e.g., AUC 0.59 vs. 0.69, p = 0.25). In contrast, ctDNA-positivity after NAC provided significant additive value to FTV in identifying patients with increased risk of metastatic recurrence and death (p = 0.004). In this pilot study, we demonstrate that ctDNA and FTV were correlated measures of tumor burden. Our preliminary findings based on a limited cohort suggest that ctDNA at surgery improves FTV as a predictor of metastatic recurrence and death. Validation in larger studies is warranted.

Identifiers

PMID33767190
PMCPMC7994408
OpenAlexW3139219198

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.