Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33762769›Full record

ReviewNature2021

Towards a rigorous understanding of societal responses to climate change.

Dagomar Degroot, Kevin Anchukaitis, Martin Bauch, Jakob Burnham, Fred Carnegy, Jianxin Cui, Kathryn de Luna, Piotr Guzowski, George Hambrecht, Heli Huhtamaa and 8 more

Abstract readHistorical ArticleReview
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Review in Nature, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 39 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
39citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

39 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Quantitative wood anatomy ofFrontiers in plant science · 2025
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Is Culture Learned? The Neglected Role of Evoking Events.Integrative psychological & behavioral science · 2024
    Review
  14. Environmental Historical Geographies.Geography compass · 2024
    Review
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Holocene palaeoclimate.Scientific reports · 2024
    Article
  18. Review
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors.

Dagomar DegrootDepartment of History, Georgetown University, Washington, DC, USA. Dagomar.Degroot@georgetown.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3769-3990
Kevin AnchukaitisSchool of Geography, Development, and Environment, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, USA.
Martin BauchLeibniz Institute for the History and Culture of Eastern Europe, Leipzig, Germany.
Jakob BurnhamDepartment of History, Georgetown University, Washington, DC, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1194-5523
Fred CarnegySchool of European Languages, Culture and Society, University College London, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8080-3860
Jianxin CuiNorthwest Institute of Historical Environment and Socio-Economic Development, Shaanxi Normal University, Xi'an, China.
Kathryn de LunaDepartment of History, Georgetown University, Washington, DC, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3496-2115
Piotr GuzowskiInstitute of History and Political Sciences, University of Białystok, Białystok, Poland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6494-4217
George HambrechtDepartment of Anthropology, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9864-1521
Heli HuhtamaaInstitute of History, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5829-5575
Adam IzdebskiPaleo-Science and History Independent Research Group, Max Planck Institute for the Science of Human History, Jena, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3456-5478
Katrin KleemannRachel Carson Center for Environment and Society, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9719-3413
Emma MoesswildeDepartment of History, Georgetown University, Washington, DC, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8560-668X
Naresh NeupaneDepartment of Biology, Georgetown University, Washington, DC, USA.
Timothy NewfieldDepartment of History, Georgetown University, Washington, DC, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1451-5024
Qing PeiDepartment of Social Sciences, The Education University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
Elena XoplakiDepartment of Geography, Justus Liebig University Giessen, Giessen, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2745-2467
Natale ZappiaDepartment of History, California State University Northridge, Los Angeles, CA, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A large scholarship currently holds that before the onset of anthropogenic global warming, natural climatic changes long provoked subsistence crises and, occasionally, civilizational collapses among human societies. This scholarship, which we term the 'history of climate and society' (HCS), is pursued by researchers from a wide range of disciplines, including archaeologists, economists, geneticists, geographers, historians, linguists and palaeoclimatologists. We argue that, despite the wide interest in HCS, the field suffers from numerous biases, and often does not account for the local effects and spatiotemporal heterogeneity of past climate changes or the challenges of interpreting historical sources. Here we propose an interdisciplinary framework for uncovering climate-society interactions that emphasizes the mechanics by which climate change has influenced human history, and the uncertainties inherent in discerning that influence across different spatiotemporal scales. Although we acknowledge that climate change has sometimes had destructive effects on past societies, the application of our framework to numerous case studies uncovers five pathways by which populations survived-and often thrived-in the face of climatic pressures.

Indexed as

CivilizationResearchSocial ChangeAnimalsClimate ChangeDroughtsEnergy-Generating ResourcesHistory, 15th CenturyHistory, 16th CenturyHistory, 17th CenturyHistory, 18th CenturyHistory, 19th CenturyHistory, 20th CenturyHistory, 21st CenturyHistory, AncientHistory, Medieval

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.