Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33762599›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2021

Forecasting influenza-like illness trends in Cameroon using Google Search Data.

Elaine O Nsoesie, Olubusola Oladeji, Aristide S Abah Abah, Martial L Ndeffo-Mbah

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Elaine O NsoesieDepartment of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, 801 Massachusetts Ave, Crosstown Center 3rd Floor, Boston, MA, 02119, USA. onelaine@bu.edu.
Olubusola OladejiDepartment of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, 801 Massachusetts Ave, Crosstown Center 3rd Floor, Boston, MA, 02119, USA.
Aristide S Abah AbahDepartment of Epidemiological Surveillance, Ministry of Health, Yaoundé, Cameroon.
Martial L Ndeffo-MbahDepartment of Veterinary Integrative Biosciences, College of Veterinary Medicine and Biomedical Sciences, Texas A & M University, Texas, USA.

Funding

A Framework for Integrating Multiple Data Sources for Modeling and Forecasting of Infectious DiseasesK01ES025438 · NIEHS · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI NSOESIE, ELAINE O. · 2014 to 2016
$322k
NIEHS NIH HHS K01 ES025438
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Although acute respiratory infections are a leading cause of mortality in sub-Saharan Africa, surveillance of diseases such as influenza is mostly neglected. Evaluating the usefulness of influenza-like illness (ILI) surveillance systems and developing approaches for forecasting future trends is important for pandemic preparedness. We applied and compared a range of robust statistical and machine learning models including random forest (RF) regression, support vector machines (SVM) regression, multivariable linear regression and ARIMA models to forecast 2012 to 2018 trends of reported ILI cases in Cameroon, using Google searches for influenza symptoms, treatments, natural or traditional remedies as well as, infectious diseases with a high burden (i.e., AIDS, malaria, tuberculosis). The R

Indexed as

Data MiningForecastingSearch EngineCameroonDisease OutbreaksGeography, MedicalHumansInfluenza, HumanModels, TheoreticalPopulation Surveillance

Identifiers

PMID33762599
PMCPMC7991669

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.