Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33762385›Full record

ArticleClinical medicine (London, England)2021

Pre-stroke disability and stroke severity as predictors of discharge destination from an acute stroke ward.

Henry de Berker, Archy de Berker, Htin Aung, Pedro Duarte, Salman Mohammed, Hamsaraj Shetty, Tom Hughes

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical medicine (London, England), 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Predictors of Discharge Destination After Stroke.Neurorehabilitation and neural repair · 2023
    Observational
  9. The cost of ischaemic stroke in Croatia.European stroke journal · 2023
    Article
  10. Assisting clinical decision making: tools, rules and teams.Clinical medicine (London, England) · 2021
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Henry de BerkerRoyal Manchester Children's Hospital, Manchester, UK h.deberker@doctors.org.uk.
Archy de BerkerMontreal, Canada.
Htin AungRoyal Glamorgan Hospital, Llantrisant, UK.
Pedro DuarteUniversity Hospital Wales, Cardiff, UK.
Salman MohammedAda Support, Ontario, Canada.
Hamsaraj ShettyUniversity Hospital Wales, Cardiff, UK.
Tom HughesUniversity Hospital Wales, Cardiff, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

background and rationaleReliable prediction of discharge destination in acute stroke informs discharge planning and can determine the expectations of patients and carers. There is no existing model that does this using routinely collected indices of pre-morbid disability and stroke severity.

methodsAge, gender, pre-morbid modified Rankin Scale (mRS) and National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) were gathered prospectively on an acute stroke unit from 1,142 consecutive patients. A multiclass random forest classifier was used to train and validate a model to predict discharge destination.

resultsUsed alone, the mRS is the strongest predictor of discharge destination. The NIHSS is only predictive when combined with our other variables. The accuracy of the final model was 70.4% overall with a positive predictive value (PPV) and sensitivity of 0.88 and 0.78 for home as the destination, 0.68 and 0.88 for continued inpatient care, 0.7 and 0.53 for community hospital, and 0.5 and 0.18 for death, respectively.

conclusionPre-stroke disability rather than stroke severity is the strongest predictor of discharge destination, but in combination with other routinely collected data, both can be used as an adjunct by the multidisciplinary team to predict discharge destination in patients with acute stroke.

Indexed as

StrokeStroke RehabilitationHospitalsHumansPatient DischargePredictive Value of Testsacute strokecomputer modellingdisabilitydischarge destinationmachine learning

Identifiers

PMID33762385
PMCPMC8002797

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.