Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33762237›Full record

SynthesisBMJ open2021

How well can we assess the validity of non-randomised studies of medications? A systematic review of assessment tools.

Elvira D'Andrea, Lydia Vinals, Elisabetta Patorno, Jessica M Franklin, Dimitri Bennett, Joan A Largent, Daniela C Moga, Hongbo Yuan, Xuerong Wen, Andrew R Zullo and 2 more

Open access · goldAbstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in BMJ open, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.1field-weighted citation impact, top 11% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 18 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. How to assess applicability and methodological quality of comparative studies of operative interventions in orthopedic trauma surgery.European journal of trauma and emergency surgery : official publication of the European Trauma Society · 2022
    Pooled it
  2. APPRAISE: A Tool for Appraising Potential for Bias in Real-World Evidence Studies on Medication Effectiveness or Safety.Value in health : the journal of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research · 2025
    Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 8 institutions in 3 countries.

Elvira D'AndreaDivision of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5263-3964
Lydia VinalsHEOR Department, Cytel Inc, Toronto, Quebec, Canada.
Elisabetta PatornoDivision of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8809-9898
Jessica M FranklinDivision of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Dimitri BennettPharmacoepidemiology, Takeda Pharmaceutical, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8387-9342
Joan A LargentReal-World Solutions, IQVIA, California, Los Angeles, USA.
Daniela C MogaDepartment of Pharmacy Practice and Science, College of Pharmacy, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.
Hongbo YuanCanadian Agency for Drugs and Technologies in Health (CADTH), Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Xuerong WenDepartment of Pharmacy Practice, University of Rhode Island, Kingston, RI, USA.
Andrew R ZulloDepartment of Health Services, Policy, and Practice, Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island, USA.
Thomas P A DebrayDepartment of Epidemiology, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, Utrecht, The Netherlands T.Debray@umcutrecht.nl.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1790-2719
Grammati SarriReal World Evidence Sciences, Visible Analytics Ltd, Oxford, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5536-8038
Brigham and Women's Hospital · USBrown University · USCanadian Agency for Drugs and Technologies in Health · CACentraal Bureau voor de Statistiek · NLIQVIA (United States) · USTakeda (United States) · USUniversity of Kentucky · USUniversity of Rhode Island · US

Funding

Tracking and Evaluation CoreU54GM115677 · NIGMS · BROWN UNIVERSITY · PI KOGUT, STEPHEN J · 2016 to 2025
$45.0M
Randomized Cardiovascular Trials Duplicated Using Prospective Longitudinal Insurance Claims: Applying Techniques of Epidemiology (RCT DUPLICATE)R01HL141505 · NHLBI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI SCHNEEWEISS, SEBASTIAN G., WANG, SHIRLEY · 2019 to 2023
$3.6M
Novel Approaches to Monitor the Safety and Effectiveness of Newly Marketed Diabetes Medications in Older Adults Considering Frailty and MultimorbidityK08AG055670 · NIA · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI PATORNO, ELISABETTA · 2018 to 2021
$661k
Opioid use in post-acute hip fracture care: prescribing patterns, effectiveness, and safetyR21AG061632 · NIA · BROWN UNIVERSITY · PI BEAUDOIN, FRANCESCA, ZULLO, ANDREW REIS · 2019 to 2020
$462k
NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL141505NIA NIH HHS K08 AG055670NIA NIH HHS R21 AG061632NIGMS NIH HHS U54 GM115677
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo determine whether assessment tools for non-randomised studies (NRS) address critical elements that influence the validity of NRS findings for comparative safety and effectiveness of medications.

designSystematic review and Delphi survey. DATA SOURCES: We searched PubMed, Embase, Google, bibliographies of reviews and websites of influential organisations from inception to November 2019. In parallel, we conducted a Delphi survey among the International Society for Pharmacoepidemiology Comparative Effectiveness Research Special Interest Group to identify key methodological challenges for NRS of medications. We created a framework consisting of the reported methodological challenges to evaluate the selected NRS tools. STUDY SELECTION: Checklists or scales assessing NRS. DATA EXTRACTION: Two reviewers extracted general information and content data related to the prespecified framework.

resultsOf 44 tools reviewed, 48% (n=21) assess multiple NRS designs, while other tools specifically addressed case-control (n=12, 27%) or cohort studies (n=11, 25%) only. Response rate to the Delphi survey was 73% (35 out of 48 content experts), and a consensus was reached in only two rounds. Most tools evaluated methods for selecting study participants (n=43, 98%), although only one addressed selection bias due to depletion of susceptibles (2%). Many tools addressed the measurement of exposure and outcome (n=40, 91%), and measurement and control for confounders (n=40, 91%). Most tools have at least one item/question on design-specific sources of bias (n=40, 91%), but only a few investigate reverse causation (n=8, 18%), detection bias (n=4, 9%), time-related bias (n=3, 7%), lack of new-user design (n=2, 5%) or active comparator design (n=0). Few tools address the appropriateness of statistical analyses (n=15, 34%), methods for assessing internal (n=15, 34%) or external validity (n=11, 25%) and statistical uncertainty in the findings (n=21, 48%). None of the reviewed tools investigated all the methodological domains and subdomains.

conclusionsThe acknowledgement of major design-specific sources of bias (eg, lack of new-user design, lack of active comparator design, time-related bias, depletion of susceptibles, reverse causation) and statistical assessment of internal and external validity is currently not sufficiently addressed in most of the existing tools. These critical elements should be integrated to systematically investigate the validity of NRS on comparative safety and effectiveness of medications. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW PROTOCOL AND REGISTRATION: https://osf.io/es65q.

Indexed as

Research DesignBiasCase-Control StudiesHumansSelection BiasSurveys and Questionnairesclinical pharmacologyepidemiologypublic healthqualitative researchstatistics & research methods

Identifiers

PMID33762237
PMCPMC7993210
OpenAlexW3138195437

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.