Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33758907›Full record

ArticleBriefings in bioinformatics2021

Inflated false discovery rate due to volcano plots: problem and solutions.

Mitra Ebrahimpoor, Jelle J Goeman

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Briefings in bioinformatics, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 18 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed.

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  14. Combining Partial True Discovery Guarantee Procedures.Biometrical journal. Biometrische Zeitschrift · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Mitra EbrahimpoorMedical statistics, Department of Biomedical Data Sciences, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, 2333 ZA, The Netherlands.
Jelle J GoemanMedical statistics, Department of Biomedical Data Sciences, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, 2333 ZA, The Netherlands.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

motivationVolcano plots are used to select the most interesting discoveries when too many discoveries remain after application of Benjamini-Hochberg's procedure (BH). The volcano plot suggests a double filtering procedure that selects features with both small adjusted $P$-value and large estimated effect size. Despite its popularity, this type of selection overlooks the fact that BH does not guarantee error control over filtered subsets of discoveries. Therefore the selected subset of features may include an inflated number of false discoveries.

resultsIn this paper, we illustrate the substantially inflated type I error rate of volcano plot selection with simulation experiments and RNA-seq data. In particular, we show that the feature with the largest estimated effect is a very likely false positive result. Next, we investigate two alternative approaches for multiple testing with double filtering that do not inflate the false discovery rate. Our procedure is implemented in an interactive web application and is publicly available.

Indexed as

Computer SimulationCase-Control StudiesChildDiarrheaDysentery, BacillaryGene ExpressionGenomicsHumansLinear ModelsPhenotypeReproducibility of ResultsRNA-SeqRotavirusRotavirus InfectionsSalmonellaSalmonella Infections

Identifiers

PMID33758907
PMCPMC8425469

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.