Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33758869›Full record

ArticlemedRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences2021

Impact of close interpersonal contact on COVID-19 incidence: evidence from one year of mobile device data.

Forrest W Crawford, Sydney A Jones, Matthew Cartter, Samantha G Dean, Joshua L Warren, Zehang Richard Li, Jacqueline Barbieri, Jared Campbell, Patrick Kenney, Thomas Valleau and 1 more

Open access · greenAbstract readPreprint
In one paragraph

Article in medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed, 5 citations in OpenAlex.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.

Forrest W CrawfordDepartment of Biostatistics, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.
Sydney A JonesEpidemic Intelligence Service, Centers for Disease Control & Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Matthew CartterInfectious Diseases Section, Connecticut Department of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.
Samantha G DeanDepartment of Biostatistics, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.
Joshua L WarrenDepartment of Biostatistics, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.
Zehang Richard LiDepartment of Statistics, University of California, Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, USA.
Jacqueline BarbieriWhitespace Solutions, Ltd, Alexandria, VA, USA.
Jared CampbellWhitespace Solutions, Ltd, Alexandria, VA, USA.
Patrick KenneyWhitespace Solutions, Ltd, Alexandria, VA, USA.
Thomas ValleauWhitespace Solutions, Ltd, Alexandria, VA, USA.
Olga MorozovaProgram in Public Health and Department of Family, Population and Preventive Medicine, Stony Brook University, NY, USA.
Yale University · USCenters for Disease Control and Prevention · USConnecticut Department of Public Health · USStony Brook University · USUniversity of California, Santa Cruz · US

Funding

Predicting and monitoring variations in the effects of vaccines against RSVR01AI137093 · NIAID · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI Virginia E Pitzer, Daniel Martin Weinberger · 2018 to 2026
$3.4M
Network-based epidemiology for hidden and hard-to-reach populationsDP2HD091799 · NICHD · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI CRAWFORD, FORREST WRENN · 2016 to 2016
$2.5M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI137093NICHD NIH HHS DP2 HD091799
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Close contact between people is the primary route for transmission of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We sought to quantify interpersonal contact at the population-level by using anonymized mobile device geolocation data. We computed the frequency of contact (within six feet) between people in Connecticut during February 2020 - January 2021. Then we aggregated counts of contact events by area of residence to obtain an estimate of the total intensity of interpersonal contact experienced by residents of each town for each day. When incorporated into a susceptible-exposed-infective-removed (SEIR) model of COVID-19 transmission, the contact rate accurately predicted COVID-19 cases in Connecticut towns during the timespan. The pattern of contact rate in Connecticut explains the large initial wave of infections during March-April, the subsequent drop in cases during June-August, local outbreaks during August-September, broad statewide resurgence during September-December, and decline in January 2021. Contact rate data can help guide public health messaging campaigns to encourage social distancing and in the allocation of testing resources to detect or prevent emerging local outbreaks more quickly than traditional case investigation. ONE SENTENCE SUMMARY: Close interpersonal contact measured using mobile device location data explains dynamics of COVID-19 transmission in Connecticut during the first year of the pandemic.

Identifiers

PMID33758869
PMCPMC7987027
OpenAlexW3134999891

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.