Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33758218›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2021

Vaccination strategies against COVID-19 and the diffusion of anti-vaccination views.

Rafael Prieto Curiel, Humberto González Ramírez

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 49 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
49citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
0.7field-weighted citation impact, top 33% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

49 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 9 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Urological complications of COVID-19: a systematic review.International braz j urol : official journal of the Brazilian Society of Urology
    Pooled it
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  12. A simplicial epidemic model for COVID-19 spread analysis.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
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  20. Can the Content of Social Networks Explain Epidemic Outbreaks?Population research and policy review · 2023
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Rafael Prieto CurielCentre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College London, Gower Street, London, WC1E 6BT, UK. rafael.prieto.13@ucl.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0738-2633
Humberto González RamírezUniversity Gustave Eiffel, LICIT, 69518, Lyon, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3988-534X
Laboratoire d'Ingénierie Circulation Transports · FRUniversity College London · GB

Funding

UKRI's Global Challenge Research Fund ES/P011055/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Misinformation is usually adjusted to fit distinct narratives and propagates rapidly through social networks. False beliefs, once adopted, are rarely corrected. Amidst the COVID-19 crisis, pandemic-deniers and people who oppose wearing face masks or quarantine have already been a substantial aspect of the development of the pandemic. With the vaccine for COVID-19, different anti-vaccine narratives are being created and are probably being adopted by large population groups with critical consequences. Assuming full adherence to vaccine administration, we use a diffusion model to analyse epidemic spreading and the impact of different vaccination strategies, measured with the average years of life lost, in three network topologies (a proximity, a scale-free and a small-world network). Then, using a similar diffusion model, we consider the spread of anti-vaccine views in the network, which are adopted based on a persuasiveness parameter of anti-vaccine views. Results show that even if anti-vaccine narratives have a small persuasiveness, a large part of the population will be rapidly exposed to them. Assuming that all individuals are equally likely to adopt anti-vaccine views after being exposed, more central nodes in the network, which are more exposed to these views, are more likely to adopt them. Comparing years of life lost, anti-vaccine views could have a significant cost not only on those who share them, since the core social benefits of a limited vaccination strategy (reduction of susceptible hosts, network disruptions and slowing the spread of the disease) are substantially shortened.

Indexed as

Anti-Vaccination MovementAttitudeCOVID-19COVID-19 VaccinesHumansModels, TheoreticalSARS-CoV-2Social NetworkingVaccinationCOVID-19 Vaccines

Identifiers

PMID33758218
PMCPMC7988012
OpenAlexW3090252349

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.