Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33758001›Full record

SynthesisBMJ (Clinical research ed.)2021

Age dependent associations of risk factors with heart failure: pooled population based cohort study.

Jasper Tromp, Samantha M A Paniagua, Emily S Lau, Norrina B Allen, Michael J Blaha, Ron T Gansevoort, Hans L Hillege, Douglas E Lee, Daniel Levy, Ramachandran S Vasan and 7 more

Erratum issuedOpen access · hybridAbstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in BMJ (Clinical research ed.), 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 123 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
123citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
23.2field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

123 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 218 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
  5. Pooled it
  6. Trial
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Volume retention after left atrial appendage occlusion: incidence and risk factors.Journal of interventional cardiac electrophysiology : an international journal of arrhythmias and pacing · 2026
    Article
  16. A Clinical Prediction Model for Selective NT-proBNP Testing in Hypertension.Journal of clinical hypertension (Greenwich, Conn.) · 2026
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

63 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors at 7 institutions in 4 countries.

Jasper TrompNational Heart Centre Singapore, Singapore.
Samantha M A PaniaguaCardiovascular Research Center, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
Emily S LauCorrigan-Minehan Heart Center, Cardiology Division, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
Norrina B AllenDepartment of Epidemiology, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, USA.
Michael J BlahaCiccarone Center for the Prevention of Heart Disease, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Ron T GansevoortDepartment of Internal Medicine, University of Groningen, University Medical Centre Groningen, Groningen, Netherlands.
Hans L HillegeDepartment of Cardiology, University of Groningen, University Medical Centre Groningen, Groningen, Netherlands.
Douglas E LeeInstitute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences, Toronto, Canada.
Daniel LevyFramingham Heart Study, Framingham, MA, USA.
Ramachandran S VasanFramingham Heart Study, Framingham, MA, USA.
Pim van der HarstDepartment of Cardiology, University of Groningen, University Medical Centre Groningen, Groningen, Netherlands.
Wiek H van GilstDepartment of Cardiology, University of Groningen, University Medical Centre Groningen, Groningen, Netherlands.
Martin G LarsonFramingham Heart Study, Framingham, MA, USA.
Sanjiv J ShahDivision of Cardiology, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL, USA.
Rudolf A de BoerDepartment of Cardiology, University of Groningen, University Medical Centre Groningen, Groningen, Netherlands.
Carolyn S P LamNational Heart Centre Singapore, Singapore.
Jennifer E HoCardiovascular Research Center, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA jho1@mgh.harvard.edu.ORCID 0000-0002-7987-4768
University Medical Center Groningen · NLMassachusetts General Hospital · USBoston University · USNorthwestern University · USInstitute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences · CAJohns Hopkins University · USNational Heart Lung and Blood Institute · US

Funding

UCLA Clinical Translational Science InstituteUL1TR001881 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI ARLEEN F. BROWN, ARASH NAEIM · 2016 to 2026
$118.1M
THE FRAMINGHAM HEART STUDYN01HC25195 · NHLBI · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI RAMACHANDRAN, VASAN S · 2007 to 2014
$83.8M
Institute for Clinical and Translational ResearchUL1TR001079 · NCATS · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI FORD, DANIEL ERNEST · 2013 to 2017
$60.1M
Framingham Project/LevyZIAHL006001 · NHLBI · NATIONAL HEART, LUNG, AND BLOOD INSTITUTE · PI LEVY, DANIEL · 2009 to 2025
$51.1M
Transgenic & Knock-out MouseP30DK063491 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI Andrea L Hevener · 2003 to 2026
$40.4M
Wake Forest Clinical and Translational Science AwardUL1TR001420 · NCATS · WAKE FOREST UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI ARD, JAMY D, FOLEY, KRISTIE L · 2015 to 2023
$32.3M
Clinical and Translational Science AwardUL1TR000040 · NCATS · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI GINSBERG, HENRY N · 2012 to 2015
$26.2M
SUBCLINICAL CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE COORDINATING CENTERN01HC95159 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI KRONMAL, RICHARD A · 2007 to 2014
$19.6M
Noninvasive Cardiovascular Imaging Research Training ProgramT32HL094301 · NHLBI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI Marcelo F DI CARLI · 2010 to 2026
$7.8M
SUBCLINICAL CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE STUDY--FIELD CENTERN01HC95160 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI WATSON, KAROL · 2007 to 2015
$7.7M
SUBCLINICAL CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE STUDY-FIELD CENTERN01HC95164 · NHLBI · NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY AT CHICAGO · PI LIU, KIANG · 2007 to 2015
$7.0M
SUBCLINICAL CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE STUDY--FIELD CENTERN01HC95161 · NHLBI · COLUMBIA UNIV NEW YORK MORNINGSIDE · PI SHEA, STEVEN · 2007 to 2014
$6.4M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000040NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001079NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001420NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001881NHLBI NIH HHS K24 HL153669NHLBI NIH HHS N01HC25195NHLBI NIH HHS N01HC95159NHLBI NIH HHS N01HC95160NHLBI NIH HHS N01HC95161NHLBI NIH HHS N01HC95162NHLBI NIH HHS N01HC95163NHLBI NIH HHS N01HC95164NHLBI NIH HHS N01HC95165NHLBI NIH HHS N01HC95166NHLBI NIH HHS N01HC95167NHLBI NIH HHS N01HC95168NHLBI NIH HHS N01HC95169NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL134893NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL140224NHLBI NIH HHS T32 HL094301NIDDK NIH HHS P30 DK063491
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo assess age differences in risk factors for incident heart failure in the general population.

designPooled population based cohort study.

settingFramingham Heart Study, Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-stage Disease Study, and Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis.

participants24 675 participants without a history of heart failure stratified by age into young (<55 years; n=11 599), middle aged (55-64 years; n=5587), old (65-74 years; n=5190), and elderly (≥75 years; n=2299) individuals.

main outcome measureIncident heart failure.

resultsOver a median follow-up of 12.7 years, 138/11 599 (1%), 293/5587 (5%), 538/5190 (10%), and 412/2299 (18%) of young, middle aged, old, and elderly participants, respectively, developed heart failure. In young participants, 32% (n=44) of heart failure cases were classified as heart failure with preserved ejection fraction compared with 43% (n=179) in elderly participants. Risk factors including hypertension, diabetes, current smoking history, and previous myocardial infarction conferred greater relative risk in younger compared with older participants (P for interaction <0.05 for all). For example, hypertension was associated with a threefold increase in risk of future heart failure in young participants (hazard ratio 3.02, 95% confidence interval 2.10 to 4.34; P<0.001) compared with a 1.4-fold risk in elderly participants (1.43, 1.13 to 1.81; P=0.003). The absolute risk for developing heart failure was lower in younger than in older participants with and without risk factors. Importantly, known risk factors explained a greater proportion of overall population attributable risk for heart failure in young participants (75%

conclusionsDespite a lower incidence and absolute risk of heart failure among younger compared with older people, the stronger association and greater attributable risk of modifiable risk factors among young participants highlight the importance of preventive efforts across the adult life course.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHeart FailureHumansIncidenceKaplan-Meier EstimateMaleMiddle AgedProportional Hazards ModelsRisk FactorsUnited States

Identifiers

PMID33758001
PMCPMC7986583
OpenAlexW3136527868

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.