Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33753400›Full record

Observational studyBMJ global health2021

Impact of social isolation on mortality and morbidity in 20 high-income, middle-income and low-income countries in five continents.

Ryo Naito, Darryl P Leong, Shrikant Ishver Bangdiwala, Martin McKee, S V Subramanian, Sumathy Rangarajan, Shofiqul Islam, Alvaro Avezum, Karen E Yeates, Scott A Lear and 24 more

Open access · goldAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMJ global health, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 55 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
55citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
9.4field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

55 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 114 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  18. Theory of Mind Mediates the Association Between Autistic Traits and Social Isolation in Middle-Aged and Older Adults.Autism research : official journal of the International Society for Autism Research · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

34 authors at 20 institutions in 24 countries.

Ryo NaitoPopulation Health Research Institute, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.
Darryl P LeongPopulation Health Research Institute, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.
Shrikant Ishver BangdiwalaPopulation Health Research Institute, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-3111-0689
Martin McKeeECOHOST, LSHTM, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-0121-9683
S V SubramanianHarvard Center for Population and Development Studies and Department of Society and Human Development, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Sumathy RangarajanPopulation Health Research Institute, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.
Shofiqul IslamPopulation Health Research Institute, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.
Alvaro AvezumInternational Research Center, Hospital Alemão Oswaldo Cruz, São Paulo, Brazil.
Karen E YeatesDepartment of Medicine, Queen's University, Kingston, Ontario, Canada.
Scott A LearFaculty of Health Sciences, Simon Fraser University, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
Rajeev GuptaEternal Heart Care Centre & Research Institute, Jaipur, India.ORCID 0000-0002-8356-3137
Afzalhussein YusufaliHatta Hospital, Dubai Medical College, Dubai Health Authority, Dubai, UAE.
Antonio L DansAdult Medicine Research Unit, Philippine General Hospital, Manila, Philippines.
Andrzej SzubaDepartment of Angiology, Hypertension and Diabetology, Wroclaw Medical University, Wroclaw, Dolnoslaskie, Poland.
Khalid F AlhabibDepartment of Cardiac Sciences, King Fahad Cardiac Center, College of Medicine, King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Manmeet KaurSchool of Public Health, Postgraduate Institute of Medical Education & Research, Chandigarh, India.
Omar RahmanUniversity of Liberal Arts Bangladesh, Dhaka, Dhaka District, Bangladesh.
Pamela SeronUniversidad de La Frontera, Temuco, Chile.
Rafael DiazECLA - Academic Research Organization, Rosario, Argentina.
Thandi PuoaneSchool of Public Health, University of Western Cape, Cape Town, Western Cape, South Africa.
Weida LiuState Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Peking Union Medical College & Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Xicheng District, Beijing, China.
Yibing ZhuChinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, Beijing, China.
Yundong ShengJiangxinzhou Community Health Service Center, Nanjing, China.
Patricio Lopez-JaramilloMasira Research Institute, Universidad de Santander (UDES), Bucaramanga, Colombia.
Jephat ChifambaDepartment of Physiology, University of Zimbabwe, College of Health Sciences, Harare, Zimbabwe.
Ismail RosnahCommunity Health Department, Faculty of Medicine, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, Malaysia, Malaysia.
Kubilay KarsidagDivision of Endocrinology, Medical Faculty of Istanbul University, Fatih, Turkey.
Roya KelishadiIsfahan Cardiovascular Research Center, Cardiovascular Research Institute, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran.
Annika RosengrenDepartment of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, Institute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, and Region Västra Götaland, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Goteborg, Sweden.
Rasha KhatibAdvocate Aurora Research Institute, Downers Grove, Illinois, USA.
Leela Itty Amma K RHealth Action by People, Thiruvananthapuram, Kerala, India.
Syed Iqbal AzamCommunity Health Sciences (CHS) department, The Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan.
Koon TeoPopulation Health Research Institute, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.
Salim YusufPopulation Health Research Institute, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada yusufs@mcmaster.ca.
Population Health Research Institute · CAAcademy of Medical Sciences · GBAga Khan University · PKChinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College · CNDubai Health Authority · AEEstudios Clínicos Latinoamérica · AREternal Hospital · INHarvard University · USHealth Action by People · INHospital Alemão Oswaldo Cruz · BRInstitute for Community Health · USIsfahan University of Medical Sciences · IRIstanbul University · TRKing Saud University · SALondon School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine · GBNanjing Health and Health Commission · CNNational Academy of Medicine · USNational University of Malaysia · MYPhilippine General Hospital · PHPost Graduate Institute of Medical Education and Research · IN

Funding

CIHR
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo examine the association between social isolation and mortality and incident diseases in middle-aged adults in urban and rural communities from high-income, middle-income and low-income countries.

designPopulation-based prospective observational study.

settingUrban and rural communities in 20 high income, middle income and low income.

participants119 894 community-dwelling middle-aged adults.

main outcome measuresAssociations of social isolation with mortality, cardiovascular death, non-cardiovascular death and incident diseases.

resultsSocial isolation was more common in middle-income and high-income countries compared with low-income countries, in urban areas than rural areas, in older individuals and among women, those with less education and the unemployed. It was more frequent among smokers and those with a poorer diet. Social isolation was associated with greater risk of mortality (HR of 1.26, 95% CI: 1.17 to 1.36), incident stroke (HR: 1.23, 95% CI: 1.07 to 1.40), cardiovascular disease (HR: 1.15, 95% CI: 1.05 to 1.25) and pneumonia (HR: 1.22, 95% CI: 1.09 to 1.37), but not cancer. The associations between social isolation and mortality were observed in populations in high-income, middle-income and low-income countries (HR (95% CI): 1.69 (1.32 to 2.17), 1.27 (1.15 to 1.40) and 1.47 (1.25 to 1.73), respectively, interaction p=0.02). The HR associated with social isolation was greater in men than women and in younger than older individuals. Mediation analyses for the association between social isolation and mortality showed that unhealthy behaviours and comorbidities may account for about one-fifth of the association.

conclusionSocial isolation is associated with increased risk of mortality in countries at different economic levels. The increasing share of older people in populations in many countries argues for targeted strategies to mitigate its adverse effects.

Indexed as

Developing CountriesSocial IsolationAdultAgedFemaleHumansIncomeMaleMiddle AgedMorbidityPovertypublic health

Identifiers

PMID33753400
PMCPMC7986654
OpenAlexW3139483492

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.