Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33751452›Full record

ArticlePharmacoEconomics2021

Replication of Published Health Economic Obesity Models: Assessment of Facilitators, Hurdles and Reproduction Success.

Björn Schwander, Mark Nuijten, Silvia Evers, Mickaël Hiligsmann

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PharmacoEconomics, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Björn SchwanderDepartment of Health Services Research, CAPHRI-Care and Public Health Research Institute, Maastricht University, Maastricht, The Netherlands. bjoern.schwander@ahead-net.de.ORCID 0000-0002-3869-8016
Mark Nuijtena2m-Ars Accessus Medica, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Silvia EversDepartment of Health Services Research, CAPHRI-Care and Public Health Research Institute, Maastricht University, Maastricht, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-1026-570X
Mickaël HiligsmannDepartment of Health Services Research, CAPHRI-Care and Public Health Research Institute, Maastricht University, Maastricht, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-4274-9258

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesThis research aims to (1) replicate published health economic models, (2) compare reproduced results with original results, (3) identify facilitators and hurdles to model replicability and determine reproduction success, and (4) suggest model replication reporting standards to enhance model reproducibility, in the context of health economic obesity models.

methodsFour health economic obesity models simulating an adult UK population were identified, selected for replication, and evaluated using the Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards (CHEERS) checklist. Reproduction results were compared to original results, focusing on cost-effectiveness outcomes, and the resulting reproduction success was assessed by published criteria. Replication facilitators and hurdles were identified and transferred into related reporting standards.

resultsAll four case studies were state-transition models simulating costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). Comparing original versus reproduction outcomes, the following deviation ranges were observed: costs - 3.9 to 16.1% (mean over all model simulations 3.78%), QALYs - 3.7 to 2.1% (mean - 0.11%), and average cost-utility ratios - 3.0 to 17.9% (mean 4.28%). Applying different published criteria, an overall reproduction success was observed for three of four models. Key replication facilitators were input data tables and model diagrams, while missing standard deviations and missing formulas for equations were considered as key hurdles.

conclusionsThis study confirms the feasibility of rebuilding health economic obesity models, but minor to major assumptions were needed to fill reporting gaps. Model replications can help to assess the quality of health economic model documentation and can be used to validate current model reporting practices. Simple changes to actual CHEERS reporting criteria may solve identified replication hurdles.

Indexed as

Economics, MedicalModels, EconomicAdultCost-Benefit AnalysisHumansObesityQuality-Adjusted Life YearsReproducibility of ResultsReproduction

Identifiers

PMID33751452
PMCPMC8009773

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.