ArticleInternational journal of dynamics and control2021
Mathematical model for COVID-19 management in crowded settlements and high-activity areas.
Article in International journal of dynamics and control, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
4 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 12 citations in OpenAlex.
- Epidemiological modelling in refugee and internally displaced people settlements: challenges and ways forward.BMJ global health · 2022Pooled it
- COVID-19 transmission dynamics and the impact of vaccination: modelling, analysis and simulations.Royal Society open science · 2023Article
- Mathematical modelling of COVID-19 transmission dynamics in a partially comorbid community.Partial differential equations in applied mathematics : a spin-off of Applied Mathematics Letters · 2022Article
- Acute respiratory infections in an adult refugee population: an observational study.NPJ primary care respiratory medicine · 2021Observational
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
This paper develops and analyses a habitat area size dependent mathematical model to study the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in crowded settlements such as refugee camps, schools, markets and churches. The model quantifies the potential impact of physical/social distancing and population density on the disease burden. Results reveal that with no fatalities and no infected entrants, the reproduction numbers associated with asymptomatic and symptomatic cases are inversely proportional to; the habitat area size, and the efforts employed in tracing and hospitalising these cases. The critical habitat area below which the disease dies out is directly proportion to the time taken to identify and hospitalise infected individuals. Results also show that disease persistence in the community is guaranteed even with minimal admission of infected individuals. Our results further show that as the level of compliance to standard operating procedures (SOPs) increases, then the disease prevalence peaks are greatly reduced and delayed. Therefore, proper adherence to SOPs such as use of masks, physical distancing measures and effective contact tracing should be highly enforced in crowded settings if COVID-19 is to be mitigated.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.