Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33746373›Full record

ArticleChaos, solitons, and fractals2021

Forecasting of COVID-19 using deep layer Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) with Gated Recurrent Units (GRUs) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) cells.

K E ArunKumar, Dinesh V Kalaga, Ch Mohan Sai Kumar, Masahiro Kawaji, Timothy M Brenza

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Chaos, solitons, and fractals, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 39 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
39citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
14.0field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

39 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 236 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

K E ArunKumarDepartment of Chemical and Biological Engineering, South Dakota School of Mines and Technology, Rapid City, SD 57701, United States.
Dinesh V KalagaMechanical Engineering Department, City College of New York, New York, NY 10031, United States.
Ch Mohan Sai KumarProcess Chemistry and Technology, CSIR- Central Institute of Medicinal and Aromatic Plants, Lucknow, UP 226015, India.
Masahiro KawajiMechanical Engineering Department, City College of New York, New York, NY 10031, United States.
Timothy M BrenzaDepartment of Chemical and Biological Engineering, South Dakota School of Mines and Technology, Rapid City, SD 57701, United States.
City College of New York · USSouth Dakota School of Mines and Technology · USCentral Institute of Medicinal and Aromatic Plants · IN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In December 2019, first case of the COVID-19 was reported in Wuhan, Hubei province in China. Soon world health organization has declared contagious coronavirus disease (a.k.a. COVID-19) as a global pandemic in the month of March 2020. Over the span of eleven months, it has rapidly spread out all over the world with total confirmed cases of ~ 41.39 M and causing a total fatality of ~1.13 M. At present, the entire mankind is facing serious threat and it is believed that COVID-19 may have been around for quite some time. Therefore, it has become imperative to forecast the global impact of COVID-19 in the near future. The present work proposes state-of-art deep learning Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) models to predict the country-wise cumulative confirmed cases, cumulative recovered cases and the cumulative fatalities. The Gated Recurrent Units (GRUs) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) cells along with Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) were developed to predict the future trends of the COVID-19. We have used publicly available data from John Hopkins University's COVID-19 database. In this work, we emphasize the importance of various factors such as age, preventive measures, and healthcare facilities, population density, etc. that play vital role in rapid spread of COVID-19 pandemic. Therefore, our forecasted results are very helpful for countries to better prepare themselves to control the pandemic.

Indexed as

Forecasting COVID-19 pandemicGated Recurrent Units (GRUs)Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs)Time series analysis

Identifiers

PMID33746373
PMCPMC7955925
OpenAlexW3136896197

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.