Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33746308›Full record

ArticleJournal of urban economics2022

JUE Insight: College student travel contributed to local COVID-19 spread.

Daniel Mangrum, Paul Niekamp

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of urban economics, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 33 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
33citing papers in PubMed
2.6field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

33 citing papers in PubMed, 100 citations in OpenAlex.

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  8. High-Speed railways and the spread of Covid-19.Travel behaviour & society · 2023
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  11. Cities in a pandemic: Evidence from China.Journal of regional science · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Daniel MangrumResearch and Statistics Group, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, 33 Liberty Street, New York, NY, 10045, United States.
Paul NiekampDepartment of Economics, Ball State University, 2000 N McKinley Ave, Muncie, IN, 47306.
Ball State University · USFederal Reserve Bank of New York · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Due to the suspension of in-person classes in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, students at universities with earlier spring breaks traveled and returned to campus while those with later spring breaks largely did not. We use variation in academic calendars to study how travel affected the evolution of COVID-19 cases and mortality. Estimates imply that counties with more early spring break students had a higher growth rate of cases than counties with fewer early spring break students. The increase in case growth rates peaked two weeks after spring break. Effects are larger for universities with students more likely to travel through airports, to New York City, and to popular Florida destinations. Consistent with secondary spread to more vulnerable populations, we find a delayed increase in mortality growth rates. Lastly, we present evidence that viral infection transmission due to college student travel also occurred prior to the COVID-19 pandemic.

Indexed as

COVID-19ExternalitiesHigher educationMobilitySpillovers

Identifiers

PMID33746308
PMCPMC7962882
OpenAlexW3107934320

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.