Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33741554›Full record

ArticleBMJ open diabetes research & care2021

Time trends in the incidence of clinically diagnosed type 2 diabetes and pre-diabetes in the UK 2009-2018: a retrospective cohort study.

Kingshuk Pal, Laura Horsfall, Manuj Sharma, Irwin Nazareth, Irene Petersen

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Article in BMJ open diabetes research & care, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

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0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Kingshuk PalResearch Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK k.pal@ucl.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0001-6630-6684
Laura HorsfallResearch Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-0868-5660
Manuj SharmaResearch Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-6235-9866
Irwin NazarethResearch Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK.
Irene PetersenResearch Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-0037-7524

Funding

Wellcome Trust 209207/Z/17/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionTo describe recent trends in the incidence of clinically diagnosed type 2 diabetes and pre-diabetes in people seen in UK general practice. RESEARCH DESIGN AND

methodsA retrospective cohort study using IQVIA Medical Research Data looking at people newly diagnosed with type 2 diabetes and pre-diabetes through primary care registers in the UK between 1 January 2009 and 31 December 2018.

resultsA cohort of 426 717 people were clinically diagnosed with type 2 diabetes and 418 656 people met the criteria for a diagnosis of pre-diabetes in that time period. The incidence of clinically diagnosed type 2 diabetes per 1000 person years at risk (PYAR) in men decreased from a peak of 5.06 per 1000 PYAR (95% CI 4.97 to 5.15) in 2013 to 3.56 per 1000 PYAR (95% CI 3.46 to 3.66) by 2018. For women, the incidence of clinically diagnosed type 2 diabetes per 1000 PYAR decreased from 4.45 (95% CI 4.37 to 4.54) in 2013 to 2.85 (2.76 to 2.93) in 2018. The incidence rate of pre-diabetes tripled by the end of the same study period in men and women.

conclusionsBetween 2009 and 2018, the incidence rate of new clinical diagnoses of type 2 diabetes recorded in a UK primary care database decreased by a third from its peak in 2013-2014, while the incidence of pre-diabetes has tripled. The implications of this on timely treatment, complication rates and mortality need further longer term exploration.

Indexed as

Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2Prediabetic StateCohort StudiesFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleRetrospective StudiesUnited Kingdomdiabetes mellitusepidemiologyprediabetic stateType 2

Identifiers

PMID33741554
PMCPMC7986873

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.