Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33740028›Full record

ArticlePLoS pathogens2021

SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in a tri-national urban area is dominated by a B.1 lineage variant linked to a mass gathering event.

Madlen Stange, Alfredo Mari, Tim Roloff, Helena Mb Seth-Smith, Michael Schweitzer, Myrta Brunner, Karoline Leuzinger, Kirstine K Søgaard, Alexander Gensch, Sarah Tschudin-Sutter and 12 more

Registry-linked trialOpen access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS pathogens, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT04351503 (A Systems Approach to Predict the Outcome of SARS-CoV-2 in the Population of a City), which is not on this map. Cited by 25 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
25citing papers in PubMed
2.9field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT04351503 completednot on this map

A Systems Approach to Predict the Outcome of SARS-CoV-2 in the Population of a City

TypeobservationalSponsorUniversity Hospital, Basel, SwitzerlandRan2020 to 2022Enrolled126,586ConditionsSARS Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) InfectionArmsStudy A, Study B, Study C, Study D
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

25 citing papers in PubMed, 48 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Early unrecognised SARS-CoV-2 introductions shaped the first pandemic wave, Sweden, 2020.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2024
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Observational
  6. Article
  7. Alpha Variant Coronavirus Outbreak in a Nursing Home Despite High Vaccination Coverage: Molecular, Epidemiological, and Immunological Studies.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2023
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Reconstruction of the origin of the first major SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in Germany.Computational and structural biotechnology journal · 2022
    Article
  19. Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

22 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Madlen StangeApplied Microbiology Research, Department of Biomedicine, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-4559-2535
Alfredo MariApplied Microbiology Research, Department of Biomedicine, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-3871-088X
Tim RoloffApplied Microbiology Research, Department of Biomedicine, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0003-3435-4723
Helena Mb Seth-SmithApplied Microbiology Research, Department of Biomedicine, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-6082-5114
Michael SchweitzerApplied Microbiology Research, Department of Biomedicine, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
Myrta BrunnerHuman Geography, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-9694-5396
Karoline LeuzingerClinical Virology, University Hospital Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
Kirstine K SøgaardApplied Microbiology Research, Department of Biomedicine, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
Alexander GenschApplied Microbiology Research, Department of Biomedicine, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
Sarah Tschudin-SutterInfectious Diseases and Hospital Epidemiology, University Hospital Basel and University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0003-4875-5368
Simon FuchsHealth Services for the City of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
Julia BielickiPediatric Infectious Diseases, University Children's Hospital Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
Hans ParggerIntensive Care Unit, University Hospital Basel, Basel, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-1234-7568
Martin SiegemundIntensive Care Unit, University Hospital Basel, Basel, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-2013-4140
Christian H NickelEmergency Medicine, University Hospital Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
Roland BingisserEmergency Medicine, University Hospital Basel, Basel, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-8223-9792
Michael OsthoffInternal Medicine, University Hospital Basel, Basel, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-5439-957X
Stefano BassettiInternal Medicine, University Hospital Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
Rita Schneider-SliwaHuman Geography, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0003-1481-2467
Manuel BattegayInfectious Diseases and Hospital Epidemiology, University Hospital Basel and University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
Hans H HirschClinical Virology, University Hospital Basel, Basel, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0003-0883-0423
Adrian EgliApplied Microbiology Research, Department of Biomedicine, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-3564-8603
University of Basel · CHUniversity Hospital of Basel · CHSIB Swiss Institute of Bioinformatics · CHUniversity Children’s Hospital Basel · CH

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The first case of SARS-CoV-2 in Basel, Switzerland was detected on February 26th 2020. We present a phylogenetic study to explore viral introduction and evolution during the exponential early phase of the local COVID-19 outbreak from February 26th until March 23rd. We sequenced SARS-CoV-2 naso-oropharyngeal swabs from 746 positive tests that were performed at the University Hospital Basel during the study period. We successfully generated 468 high quality genomes from unique patients and called variants with our COVID-19 Pipeline (COVGAP), and analysed viral genetic diversity using PANGOLIN taxonomic lineages. To identify introduction and dissemination events we incorporated global SARS-CoV-2 genomes and inferred a time-calibrated phylogeny. Epidemiological data from patient questionnaires was used to facilitate the interpretation of phylogenetic observations. The early outbreak in Basel was dominated by lineage B.1 (83·6%), detected first on March 2nd, although the first sample identified belonged to B.1.1. Within B.1, 68·2% of our samples fall within a clade defined by the SNP C15324T ('Basel cluster'), including 157 identical sequences at the root of the 'Basel cluster', some of which we can specifically trace to regional spreading events. We infer the origin of B.1-C15324T to mid-February in our tri-national region. The other genomes map broadly over the global phylogenetic tree, showing several introduction events from and/or dissemination to other regions of the world via travellers. Family transmissions can also be traced in our data. A single lineage variant dominated the outbreak in the Basel area while other lineages, such as the first (B.1.1), did not propagate. A mass gathering event was the predominant initial source of cases, with travel returners and family transmissions to a lesser extent. We highlight the importance of adding specific questions to epidemiological questionnaires, to obtain data on attendance of large gatherings and their locations, as well as travel history, to effectively identify routes of transmissions in up-coming outbreaks. This phylogenetic analysis in concert with epidemiological and contact tracing data, allows connection and interpretation of events, and can inform public health interventions. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04351503.

Indexed as

CrowdingGenome, ViralMutationAdultContact TracingCOVID-19FemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMass ScreeningMiddle AgedSARS-CoV-2Switzerland

Identifiers

PMID33740028
PMCPMC8011817
OpenAlexW3136530748

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.