ArticlePLoS pathogens2021
SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in a tri-national urban area is dominated by a B.1 lineage variant linked to a mass gathering event.
Article in PLoS pathogens, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT04351503 (A Systems Approach to Predict the Outcome of SARS-CoV-2 in the Population of a City), which is not on this map. Cited by 25 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
A Systems Approach to Predict the Outcome of SARS-CoV-2 in the Population of a City
Who cites it
25 citing papers in PubMed, 48 citations in OpenAlex.
- Prevention of SARS-CoV-2 transmission during a large, live, indoor gathering (SPRING): a non-inferiority, randomised, controlled trial.The Lancet. Infectious diseases · 2022Trial
- Wind velocity and dispersion/advection-diffusion of artificial droplets and droplet nuclei in a domed all-weather multi-purpose stadium.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Early unrecognised SARS-CoV-2 introductions shaped the first pandemic wave, Sweden, 2020.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2024Article
- Underreporting of Cases in the COVID-19 Outbreak of Borriana (Spain) during Mass Gathering Events in March 2020: A Cross-Sectional Study.Epidemiologia (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Article
- Secondary attack rate following on-site isolation of patients with suspected COVID-19 in multiple-bed rooms.Antimicrobial resistance and infection control · 2024Observational
- SARS-CoV-2 in an immunocompromised host: convalescent plasma therapy and viral evolution elucidated by whole genome sequencing.BMJ case reports · 2023Article
- Alpha Variant Coronavirus Outbreak in a Nursing Home Despite High Vaccination Coverage: Molecular, Epidemiological, and Immunological Studies.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2023Article
- A systematic outbreak investigation of SARS-CoV-2 transmission clusters in a tertiary academic care center.Antimicrobial resistance and infection control · 2023Article
- A post-occupancy study of ventilation effectiveness from high-resolution COBuilding and environment · 2022Article
- Combination of Whole Genome Sequencing and Metagenomics for Microbiological Diagnostics.International journal of molecular sciences · 2022Review
- Potent neutralization by monoclonal human IgM against SARS-CoV-2 is impaired by class switch.EMBO reports · 2022Article
- Application of genetic algorithm combined with improved SEIR model in predicting the epidemic trend of COVID-19, China.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- SARS-CoV-2 Vaccine Alpha and Delta Variant Breakthrough Infections Are Rare and Mild but Can Happen Relatively Early after Vaccination.Microorganisms · 2022Article
- Genomic assessment of quarantine measures to prevent SARS-CoV-2 importation and transmission.Nature communications · 2022Article
- External Quality Assessment of SARS-CoV-2 Sequencing: an ESGMD-SSM Pilot Trial across 15 European Laboratories.Journal of clinical microbiology · 2022Article
- Determinants of SARS-CoV-2 transmission to guide vaccination strategy in an urban area.Virus evolution · 2022Article
- Detection of SARS-CoV-2 infection clusters: The useful combination of spatiotemporal clustering and genomic analyses.Frontiers in public health · 2022Article
- Reconstruction of the origin of the first major SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in Germany.Computational and structural biotechnology journal · 2022Article
- Travel in the Time of COVID: A Review of International Travel Health in a Global Pandemic.Current infectious disease reports · 2022Review
- Genomic Epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2 Divulge B.1, B.1.36, and B.1.1.7 as the Most Dominant Lineages in First, Second, and Third Wave of SARS-CoV-2 Infections in Pakistan.Microorganisms · 2021Article
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Authors and funding
22 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The first case of SARS-CoV-2 in Basel, Switzerland was detected on February 26th 2020. We present a phylogenetic study to explore viral introduction and evolution during the exponential early phase of the local COVID-19 outbreak from February 26th until March 23rd. We sequenced SARS-CoV-2 naso-oropharyngeal swabs from 746 positive tests that were performed at the University Hospital Basel during the study period. We successfully generated 468 high quality genomes from unique patients and called variants with our COVID-19 Pipeline (COVGAP), and analysed viral genetic diversity using PANGOLIN taxonomic lineages. To identify introduction and dissemination events we incorporated global SARS-CoV-2 genomes and inferred a time-calibrated phylogeny. Epidemiological data from patient questionnaires was used to facilitate the interpretation of phylogenetic observations. The early outbreak in Basel was dominated by lineage B.1 (83·6%), detected first on March 2nd, although the first sample identified belonged to B.1.1. Within B.1, 68·2% of our samples fall within a clade defined by the SNP C15324T ('Basel cluster'), including 157 identical sequences at the root of the 'Basel cluster', some of which we can specifically trace to regional spreading events. We infer the origin of B.1-C15324T to mid-February in our tri-national region. The other genomes map broadly over the global phylogenetic tree, showing several introduction events from and/or dissemination to other regions of the world via travellers. Family transmissions can also be traced in our data. A single lineage variant dominated the outbreak in the Basel area while other lineages, such as the first (B.1.1), did not propagate. A mass gathering event was the predominant initial source of cases, with travel returners and family transmissions to a lesser extent. We highlight the importance of adding specific questions to epidemiological questionnaires, to obtain data on attendance of large gatherings and their locations, as well as travel history, to effectively identify routes of transmissions in up-coming outbreaks. This phylogenetic analysis in concert with epidemiological and contact tracing data, allows connection and interpretation of events, and can inform public health interventions. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04351503.
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