Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33740007›Full record

ArticlePloS one2021

The social cost of contacts: Theory and evidence for the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in Germany.

Martin F Quaas, Jasper N Meya, Hanna Schenk, Björn Bos, Moritz A Drupp, Till Requate

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
2.3field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 30 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. The theory of epidemics with altruism.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Effects of media on preventive behaviour during the COVID-19 pandemic.Humanities & social sciences communications · 2023
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Measuring voluntary and policy-induced social distancing behavior during the COVID-19 pandemic.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2021
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Martin F QuaasDepartment of Economics, Leipzig University, Leipzig, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-0812-8829
Jasper N MeyaDepartment of Economics, Leipzig University, Leipzig, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-1598-3014
Hanna SchenkDepartment of Economics, Leipzig University, Leipzig, Germany.
Björn BosDepartment of Economics, University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-0242-474X
Moritz A DruppDepartment of Economics, University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany.
Till RequateDepartment of Economics, Kiel University, Kiel, Germany.
German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research · DEChristian-Albrechts-Universität zu Kiel · DEIfo Institute for Economic Research · DEUniversität Hamburg · DE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Building on the epidemiological SIR model, we present an economic model with heterogeneous individuals deriving utility from social contacts creating infection risks. Focusing on social distancing of individuals susceptible to an infection we theoretically characterize the gap between private and social cost of contacts. Our main contribution is to quantify this gap by calibrating the model with unique survey data from Germany on social distancing and impure altruism from the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic. The optimal policy is to drastically reduce contacts at the beginning to almost eradicate the epidemic and keep them at levels that contain the pandemic at a low prevalence level. We find that also in laissez faire, private protection efforts by forward-looking, risk averse individuals would have stabilized the epidemic, but at a much higher prevalence of infection than optimal. Altruistic motives increase individual protection efforts, but a substantial gap to the social optimum remains.

Indexed as

Cost of IllnessModels, TheoreticalAdultAgedCOVID-19FemaleGermanyHumansMaleMiddle AgedPhysical DistancingSARS-CoV-2Surveys and Questionnaires

Identifiers

PMID33740007
PMCPMC7978372
OpenAlexW3136040290

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.