Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33738316›Full record

ArticleOpen forum infectious diseases2021

A Risk Score to Predict

Laurie Aukes, Bruce Fireman, Edwin Lewis, Julius Timbol, John Hansen, Holly Yu, Bing Cai, Elisa Gonzalez, Jody Lawrence, Nicola P Klein

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Open forum infectious diseases, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
0.3field-weighted citation impact, top 41% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 8 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Derivation and validation of a prediction model for primary and recurrentAntimicrobial stewardship & healthcare epidemiology : ASHE · 2026
    Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Laurie AukesKaiser Permanente Vaccine Study Center, Oakland, California, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4663-9793
Bruce FiremanKaiser Permanente Vaccine Study Center, Oakland, California, USA.
Edwin LewisKaiser Permanente Vaccine Study Center, Oakland, California, USA.
Julius TimbolKaiser Permanente Vaccine Study Center, Oakland, California, USA.
John HansenKaiser Permanente Vaccine Study Center, Oakland, California, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7891-2673
Holly YuPfizer, Inc., Collegeville, Pennsylvania, USA.
Bing CaiPfizer, Inc., Collegeville, Pennsylvania, USA.
Elisa GonzalezPfizer, Inc., Collegeville, Pennsylvania, USA.
Jody LawrencePfizer, Inc., Collegeville, Pennsylvania, USA.
Nicola P KleinKaiser Permanente Vaccine Study Center, Oakland, California, USA.
Kaiser Permanente · USPfizer (United States) · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

background

methodsWe included these risk factors in logistic regression models to develop 2 risk scores that predict future CDI after an Index Date for Risk Score Assessment (IDRSA), marking the beginning of a period for which we estimated CDI risk.

resultsDuring May 2011 to July 2014, we included 9986 CDI cases and 2 230 354 members without CDI. The CDI cases tended to be older, female, white race, and have more hospitalizations, emergency department and office visits, skilled nursing facility stays, antibiotic and proton pump inhibitor use, and specific comorbidities. Using hospital discharge as the IDRSA, our risk score model yielded excellent performance in predicting the likelihood of developing CDI in the subsequent 31-365 days (C-statistic of 0.848). Using a random date as the IDRSA, our model also predicted CDI risk in the subsequent 31-365 days reasonably well (C-statistic 0.722).

conclusionsThese results can be used to identify high-risk populations for enrollment in

Indexed as

Clostridioides difficile risk score model

Identifiers

PMID33738316
PMCPMC7953654
OpenAlexW3127469753

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.