Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33737519›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2021

Ecosystem response persists after a prolonged marine heatwave.

Robert M Suryan, Mayumi L Arimitsu, Heather A Coletti, Russell R Hopcroft, Mandy R Lindeberg, Steven J Barbeaux, Sonia D Batten, William J Burt, Mary A Bishop, James L Bodkin and 39 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 47 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
47citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

47 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  4. Shifting stage-specific constraints on productivity shape recovery potential for Yukon River Chinook salmon.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2026
    Article
  5. Review
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  8. Fishing fleets as ecosystem sentinels.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Evaluating ecosystem caps on fishery yield in the context of climate stress and predation.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2025
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Responses at various levels of ecological hierarchy indicate acclimation to sequential sublethal heatwaves in a temperate benthic ecosystem.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2024
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

49 authors.

Robert M SuryanAlaska Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Juneau, AK, USA. rob.suryan@noaa.gov.
Mayumi L ArimitsuU.S. Geological Survey, Alaska Science Center, Juneau, AK, USA.
Heather A ColettiNational Park Service, Fairbanks, AK, USA.
Russell R HopcroftUniversity of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK, USA.
Mandy R LindebergAlaska Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Juneau, AK, USA.
Steven J BarbeauxAlaska Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Seattle, WA, USA.
Sonia D BattenMarine Biological Association, Nanaimo, BC, Canada.
William J BurtUniversity of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK, USA.
Mary A BishopPrince William Sound Science Center, Cordova, AK, USA.
James L BodkinU.S. Geological Survey, Alaska Science Center, Anchorage, AK, USA.
Richard BrennerAlaska Department of Fish and Game, Juneau, AK, USA.
Robert W CampbellPrince William Sound Science Center, Cordova, AK, USA.
Daniel A CushingPole Star Ecological Research LLC, Anchorage, AK, USA.
Seth L DanielsonUniversity of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK, USA.
Martin W DornAlaska Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Seattle, WA, USA.
Brie DrummondU.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Homer, AK, USA.
Daniel EslerU.S. Geological Survey, Alaska Science Center, Anchorage, AK, USA.
Thomas GelattAlaska Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Seattle, WA, USA.
Dana H HanselmanAlaska Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Juneau, AK, USA.
Scott A HatchInstitute for Seabird Research and Conservation, Anchorage, AK, USA.
Stormy HaughtDepartment of Fish and Game, Cordova, AK, USA.
Kris HolderiedNational Ocean Service, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Homer, AK, USA.
Katrin IkenUniversity of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK, USA.
David B IronsU.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Anchorage, AK, USA.
Arthur B KettleU.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Homer, AK, USA.
David G KimmelAlaska Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Seattle, WA, USA.
Brenda KonarUniversity of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK, USA.
Kathy J KuletzU.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Anchorage, AK, USA.
Benjamin J LaurelAlaska Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Newport, OR, USA.
John M ManiscalcoAlaska SeaLife Center, Seward, AK, USA.
Craig MatkinNorth Gulf Oceanic Society, Homer, AK, USA.
Caitlin A E McKinstryPrince William Sound Science Center, Cordova, AK, USA.
Daniel H MonsonU.S. Geological Survey, Alaska Science Center, Anchorage, AK, USA.
John R MoranAlaska Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Juneau, AK, USA.
Dan OlsenNorth Gulf Oceanic Society, Homer, AK, USA.
Wayne A PalssonAlaska Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Seattle, WA, USA.
W Scott PegauPrince William Sound Science Center, Cordova, AK, USA.
John F PiattU.S. Geological Survey, Alaska Science Center, Anchorage, AK, USA.
Lauren A RogersAlaska Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Seattle, WA, USA.
Nora A RojekU.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Homer, AK, USA.
Anne SchaeferPrince William Sound Science Center, Cordova, AK, USA.
Ingrid B SpiesAlaska Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Seattle, WA, USA.
Janice M StraleyUniversity of Alaska Southeast, Sitka, AK, USA.
Suzanne L StromShannon Point Marine Center, Western Washington University, Anacortes, WA, USA.
Kathryn L SweeneyAlaska Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Seattle, WA, USA.
Marysia SzymkowiakAlaska Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Juneau, AK, USA.
Benjamin P WeitzmanNational Ocean Service, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Homer, AK, USA.
Ellen M YasumiishiAlaska Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Juneau, AK, USA.
Stephani G ZadorAlaska Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Seattle, WA, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Some of the longest and most comprehensive marine ecosystem monitoring programs were established in the Gulf of Alaska following the environmental disaster of the Exxon Valdez oil spill over 30 years ago. These monitoring programs have been successful in assessing recovery from oil spill impacts, and their continuation decades later has now provided an unparalleled assessment of ecosystem responses to another newly emerging global threat, marine heatwaves. The 2014-2016 northeast Pacific marine heatwave (PMH) in the Gulf of Alaska was the longest lasting heatwave globally over the past decade, with some cooling, but also continued warm conditions through 2019. Our analysis of 187 time series from primary production to commercial fisheries and nearshore intertidal to offshore oceanic domains demonstrate abrupt changes across trophic levels, with many responses persisting up to at least 5 years after the onset of the heatwave. Furthermore, our suite of metrics showed novel community-level groupings relative to at least a decade prior to the heatwave. Given anticipated increases in marine heatwaves under current climate projections, it remains uncertain when or if the Gulf of Alaska ecosystem will return to a pre-PMH state.

Identifiers

PMID33737519
PMCPMC7973763

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.