Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33736606›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2021

Close contact infection dynamics over time: insights from a second large-scale social contact survey in Flanders, Belgium, in 2010-2011.

Thang Van Hoang, Pietro Coletti, Yimer Wasihun Kifle, Kim Van Kerckhove, Sarah Vercruysse, Lander Willem, Philippe Beutels, Niel Hens

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Thang Van HoangI-Biostat, Data Science Institute, Hasselt University, Martelarenlaan 42, Hasselt, 3500, Belgium. vanthang.hoang@uhasselt.be.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1896-3273
Pietro ColettiI-Biostat, Data Science Institute, Hasselt University, Martelarenlaan 42, Hasselt, 3500, Belgium.
Yimer Wasihun KifleThe Janssen Pharmaceutical Companies of Johnson & Johnson, Antwerpen, Belgium.
Kim Van KerckhoveI-Biostat, Data Science Institute, Hasselt University, Martelarenlaan 42, Hasselt, 3500, Belgium.
Sarah VercruysseI-Biostat, Data Science Institute, Hasselt University, Martelarenlaan 42, Hasselt, 3500, Belgium.
Lander WillemCentre for Health Economic Research and Modelling Infectious Diseases, Vaccine & Infectious Diseases Institute, University of Antwerp, Universiteitsplein 1, Antwerp, 2610, Belgium.
Philippe BeutelsCentre for Health Economic Research and Modelling Infectious Diseases, Vaccine & Infectious Diseases Institute, University of Antwerp, Universiteitsplein 1, Antwerp, 2610, Belgium.
Niel HensI-Biostat, Data Science Institute, Hasselt University, Martelarenlaan 42, Hasselt, 3500, Belgium.

Funding

Fonds Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek 1234620NH2020 European Research Council 682540
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn 2010-2011, we conducted a social contact survey in Flanders, Belgium, aimed at improving and extending the design of the first social contact survey conducted in Belgium in 2006. This second social contact survey aimed to enable, for the first time, the estimation of social mixing patterns for an age range of 0 to 99 years and the investigation of whether contact rates remain stable over this 5-year time period.

methodsDifferent data mining techniques are used to explore the data, and the age-specific number of social contacts and the age-specific contact rates are modelled using a generalized additive models for location, scale and shape (GAMLSS) model. We compare different matrices using assortativeness measures. The relative change in the basic reproduction number (R

resultsAll estimated contact patterns featured strong homophily in age and sex, especially for small children and adolescents. A 30% (95% BCI [17%; 37%]) and 29% (95% BCI [14%; 40%]) reduction in R

conclusionsThe second social contact survey in Flanders, Belgium, endorses the findings of its 2006 predecessor and adds important information on the social mixing patterns of people older than 60 years of age. Based on this analysis, the mixing patterns of people older than 60 years exhibit considerable heterogeneity, and overall, the comparison of the two surveys shows that social contact rates can be assumed stable in Flanders over a time span of 5 years.

Indexed as

Basic Reproduction NumberEpidemicsSocial NetworkingSurveys and QuestionnairesAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overBelgiumChickenpoxChildChild, PreschoolContact TracingFamilyFemaleHolidaysBehavioural changesContact behaviourContact ratesInfectious diseasesMixing patterns

Identifiers

PMID33736606
PMCPMC7971398

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.