ArticleStatistics in medicine2021
A Bayesian approach for estimating age-adjusted rates for low-prevalence diseases over space and time.
Article in Statistics in medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
4 citing papers in PubMed.
- Spatiotemporal Modeling Approach to Mapping Geographic and Temporal Variation in Cancer Incidence Rates for US Counties.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2026Article
- Prevalence and trend of periodontal diseases in Iran from 1990 to 2017: a national study.BMC oral health · 2025Article
- Causal decomposition maps: An exploratory tool for designing area-level interventions aimed at reducing health disparities.Biometrical journal. Biometrische Zeitschrift · 2023Article
- Invited Commentary: Predicting Incidence Rates of Rare Cancers-Adding Epidemiologic and Spatial Contexts.American journal of epidemiology · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Age-adjusted rates are frequently used by epidemiologists to compare disease incidence and mortality across populations. In small geographic regions, age-adjusted rates computed directly from the data are subject to considerable variability and are generally unreliable. Therefore, we desire an approach that accounts for the excessive number of zero counts in disease mapping datasets, which are naturally present for low-prevalence diseases and are further innated when stratifying by age group. Bayesian modeling approaches are naturally suited to employ spatial and temporal smoothing to produce more stable estimates of age-adjusted rates for small areas. We propose a Bayesian hierarchical spatio-temporal hurdle model for counts and demonstrate how age-adjusted rates can be estimated from the hurdle model. We perform a simulation study to evaluate the performance of the proposed model vs a traditional Poisson model on datasets with varying characteristics. The approach is illustrated using two applications to cancer mortality at the county level.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.