Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33724638›Full record

Trial reportEuropean journal of neurology2022

Risk of requiring a wheelchair in primary progressive multiple sclerosis: Data from the ORATORIO trial and the MSBase registry.

Helmut Butzkueven, Tim Spelman, Dana Horakova, Stella Hughes, Claudio Solaro, Guillermo Izquierdo, Eva Kubala Havrdová, Francois Grand'Maison, Alexandre Prat, Marc Girard and 18 more

Registry-linked trialOpen access · hybridAbstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in European journal of neurology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT01194570 (A Phase III, Multicentre, Randomized, Parallel-group, Double-blind, Placebo Controlled Study to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Ocrelizumab in Adults With Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis), which is not on this map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.7field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT01194570 phase3completednot on this map

A Phase III, Multicentre, Randomized, Parallel-group, Double-blind, Placebo Controlled Study to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Ocrelizumab in Adults With Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis

TypeinterventionalSponsorHoffmann-La RocheRan2011 to 2022Enrolled735ConditionsMultiple Sclerosis, Primary ProgressiveArmsOcrelizumab, Placebo
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 19 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Ocrelizumab for multiple sclerosis.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2022
    Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Observational
  8. Review
  9. Predictors of Ocrelizumab Effectiveness in Patients with Multiple Sclerosis.Neurotherapeutics : the journal of the American Society for Experimental NeuroTherapeutics · 2021
    Observational
  10. Review
  11. Review
  12. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

28 authors at 15 institutions in 9 countries.

Helmut ButzkuevenDepartment of Neuroscience, Central Clinical School, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.ORCID 0000-0003-3940-8727
Tim SpelmanDepartment of Medicine and Melbourne Brain Centre, The Royal Melbourne Hospital, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Dana HorakovaDepartment of Neurology and Center of Clinical Neuroscience, First Faculty of Medicine, Charles University and General University Hospital, Prague, Czech Republic.
Stella HughesDepartment of Neurology, Craigavon Area Hospital, Craigavon, UK.
Claudio SolaroCRRF "Mons. Luigi Novarese", Moncrivello, (VC), Italy.
Guillermo IzquierdoVithas Nisa Hospital, Seville, Spain.
Eva Kubala HavrdováDepartment of Neurology and Center of Clinical Neuroscience, General University Hospital and Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic.
Francois Grand'MaisonNeuro Rive-Sud, Quebec City, Quebec, Canada.
Alexandre PratCHUM and Universite de Montreal, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.
Marc GirardCHUM and Universite de Montreal, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.
Raymond HuppertsZuyderland Ziekenhuis, Sittard, The Netherlands.
Marco OnofrjUniversity G. d'Annunzio, Chieti, Italy.
Alessandra LugaresiIRCCS Istituto delle Scienze Neurologiche di Bologna, UOSI Riabilitazione Sclerosi Multipla, Bologna, Italy.
Bruce TaylorRoyal Hobart Hospital, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia.
MSBase Study Group
Gavin GiovannoniQueen Mary University of London, London, UK.
Ludwig KapposResearch Center for Clinical Neuroimmunology and Neuroscience and MS Center, University Hospital Basel and University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
Stephen L HauserUniversity of California, San Francisco, California, USA.
Xavier MontalbanDepartment of Neurology-Neuroimmunology, Centre d'Esclerosi Múltiple de Catalunya (Cemcat), Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Barcelona, Spain.
Licinio CraveiroF. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd, Basel, Switzerland.
Rita FreitasF. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd, Basel, Switzerland.
Fabian ModelF. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd, Basel, Switzerland.
James OverellF. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd, Basel, Switzerland.
Erwan Muros-Le RouzicF. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd, Basel, Switzerland.
Annette SauterF. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd, Basel, Switzerland.
Qing WangF. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd, Basel, Switzerland.
David WormserF. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd, Basel, Switzerland.
Jerry S WolinskyMcGovern Medical School, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston (UTHealth), Houston, Texas, USA.
Roche (Switzerland) · CHCharles University · CZQueen Mary University of London · GBUniversité de Montréal · CAUniversity of California, San Francisco · USBelfast Health and Social Care Trust · GBCentro Ricerche FIAT · ITHospitales Nisa · ESIstituto delle Scienze Neurologiche di Bologna · ITMonash University · AURoyal Hobart Hospital · AUThe Royal Melbourne Hospital · AUThe University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston · USUniversity of Chieti-Pescara · ITZuyderland Medisch Centrum · NL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

background and purposeReaching Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) ≥7.0 represents the requirement for a wheelchair. Here we (i) assess the effect of ocrelizumab on time to EDSS ≥7.0 over the ORATORIO (NCT01194570) double-blind and extended controlled periods (DBP+ECP), (ii) quantify likely long-term benefits by extrapolating results, and (iii) assess the plausibility of extrapolations using an independent real-world cohort (MSBase registry; ACTRN12605000455662).

methodsPost hoc analyses assessing time to 24-week confirmed EDSS ≥7.0 in two cohorts of patients with primary progressive multiple sclerosis (baseline EDSS 3.0-6.5) were investigated in ORATORIO and MSBase.

resultsIn the ORATORIO DBP+ECP, ocrelizumab reduced the risk of 24-week confirmed EDSS ≥7.0 (hazard ratio = 0.54, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.31-0.92; p = 0.022). Extrapolated median time to 24-week confirmed EDSS ≥7.0 was 12.1 and 19.2 years for placebo and ocrelizumab, respectively (7.1-year delay [95% CI: -4.3 to 18.4]). In MSBase, the median time to 24-week confirmed EDSS ≥7.0 was 12.4 years.

conclusionsCompared with placebo, ocrelizumab significantly delayed time to 24-week confirmed wheelchair requirement in ORATORIO. The plausibility of the extrapolated median time to reach this milestone in the placebo group was supported by observed real-world data from MSBase. Extrapolated benefits for ocrelizumab over placebo could represent a truly meaningful delay in loss of ambulation and independence.

Indexed as

Multiple SclerosisMultiple Sclerosis, Chronic ProgressiveWheelchairsDisease ProgressionHumansRegistriesdisease progressionocrelizumabprimary progressive multiple sclerosiswheelchair

Identifiers

PMID33724638
PMCPMC9292576
OpenAlexW3136701550

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.