ArticleTechnological forecasting and social change2021
Measuring the global economic impact of the coronavirus outbreak: Evidence from the main cluster countries.
Article in Technological forecasting and social change, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.
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Who cites it
11 citing papers in PubMed, 41 citations in OpenAlex.
- Corporate vulnerability in the US and China during COVID-19: A machine learning approach.Journal of economic asymmetries · 2023Article
- Artificial neural network (ANN)-based estimation of the influence of COVID-19 pandemic on dynamic and emerging financial markets.Technological forecasting and social change · 2023Article
- Time-varying effects of fuel prices on stock market returns during COVID-19 outbreak.Resources policy · 2023Article
- What can we learn about the market reaction to macroeconomic surprise? Evidence from the COVID-19 crisis.Research in international business and finance · 2023Article
- Multifactorial influences underpinning a decision on COVID-19 vaccination among healthcare workers: a qualitative analysis.Human vaccines & immunotherapeutics · 2022Article
- Multi-dimensional impacts of Coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic on Sustainable Development Goal achievement.Globalization and health · 2022Article
- Economic Uncertainty During COVID-19 Pandemic in Latin America and Asia.Journal of the knowledge economy · 2022Article
- Social-economic impacts of epidemic diseases.Technological forecasting and social change · 2022Article
- Movement restrictions, vaccine coverage, and reduction of the COVID-19 incidence rate in the fourth wave of the pandemic: Analysis results from 63 provinces in Vietnam.Frontiers in public health · 2022Article
- Robots and risk of COVID-19 workplace contagion: Evidence from Italy.Technological forecasting and social change · 2021Article
- Which Jobs are Unlucky against the Biologic and the Economic Risks Caused by the Covid-19 Pandemic?Indian journal of occupational and environmental medicineArticle
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Authors and funding
3 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
This study measures the global economic impact of the coronavirus outbreak. This pandemic is characterized by demand and supply shocks, leading to restrictions on trade, product and service transactions, and capital flow mobility. We investigate its impact on currency markets, stock market performance, and investor fear sentiment. We employ an empirical, time-scale approach based on the continuous wavelet transform-appropriate for time-series characteristics during times of turmoil. Based on daily data for four main cluster countries (China, France, Italy, and the USA), our results show that the impact of the pandemic's evolution on the main economic indicators in China exhibits a different pattern from France, Italy, and the USA. For China, our results show that the pandemic evolution co-moves with the main economic indicators only in the short term (one week). The effect is more persistent in other countries. We also show that the main economic indicators are more sensitive to pandemic evolution assessed by the number of deaths rather than number of cases, and that currency and financial markets are affected in different timescales. These findings might assist policymakers in addressing the feedback loop between currency markets and capital flows and help investors find alternative assets to hedge against heath shocks.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.