ReviewNature medicine2021
Nowcasting epidemics of novel pathogens: lessons from COVID-19.
Review in Nature medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
27 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Mental disorders following COVID-19 and other epidemics: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Translational psychiatry · 2022Pooled it
- Infectious disease modeling for public health practice: projections, scenarios, and uncertainty in three phases of outbreak response.American journal of epidemiology · 2026Article
- Proper pandemic preparedness requires an integrated cross-regional effort, the case of the ECLIPSE consortium in America: a narrative review.Journal of health, population, and nutrition · 2025Review
- An application of nowcasting methods: Cases of norovirus during the winter 2023/2024 in England.PLoS computational biology · 2025Article
- Impact of the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic on the Epidemiology ofMicroorganisms · 2024Article
- On the assessment of the ability of measurements, nowcasts, and forecasts to track changes.BMC medical research methodology · 2024Article
- Sleeping behaviors are determined by lockdown and not work-from-home arrangements.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Nowcasting methods to improve the performance of respiratory sentinel surveillance: lessons from the COVID-19 pandemic.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- A Data-Driven Approach to Defining Risk-Adjusted Coding Specificity Metrics for a Large U.S. Dementia Patient Cohort.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Article
- Innovations in public health surveillance: An overview of novel use of data and analytic methods.Canada communicable disease report = Releve des maladies transmissibles au Canada · 2024Article
- Predictive power of wastewater for nowcasting infectious disease transmission: A retrospective case study of five sewershed areas in Louisville, Kentucky.Environmental research · 2024Article
- Prehospital Cardiac Arrest Should be Considered When Evaluating Coronavirus Disease 2019 Mortality in the United States.Methods of information in medicine · 2023Article
- Identification of GINS1 as a therapeutic target in the cancer patients infected with COVID-19: a bioinformatics and system biology approach.Hereditas · 2022Article
- Bayesian nowcasting with leading indicators applied to COVID-19 fatalities in Sweden.PLoS computational biology · 2022Article
- How COVID-19 shaped mental health: from infection to pandemic effects.Nature medicine · 2022Review
- A comprehensive review of COVID-19 detection techniques: From laboratory systems to wearable devices.Computers in biology and medicine · 2022Review
- Remdesivir use and risks of acute kidney injury and acute liver injury among patients hospitalised with COVID-19: a self-controlled case series study.Alimentary pharmacology & therapeutics · 2022Article
- Article
- Human Research Study of Particulate Propagation Distance From Human Respiratory Function.The Journal of infectious diseases · 2022Article
- Performance of early warning signals for disease re-emergence: A case study on COVID-19 data.PLoS computational biology · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
7 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Epidemic nowcasting broadly refers to assessing the current state by understanding key pathogenic, epidemiologic, clinical and socio-behavioral characteristics of an ongoing outbreak. Its primary objective is to provide situational awareness and inform decisions on control responses. In the event of large-scale sustained emergencies, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, scientists need to constantly update their aims and analytics with respect to the rapidly evolving emergence of new questions, data and findings in order to synthesize real-time evidence for policy decisions. In this Perspective, we share our views on the functional aims, rationale, data requirements and challenges of nowcasting at different stages of an epidemic, drawing on the ongoing COVID-19 experience. We highlight how recent advances in the computational and laboratory sciences could be harnessed to complement traditional approaches to enhance the scope, timeliness, reliability and utility of epidemic nowcasting.
Indexed as
Identifiers
33723452What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.