Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33723010›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2021

Flood risk behaviors of United States riverine metropolitan areas are driven by local hydrology and shaped by race.

James Knighton, Kelly Hondula, Cielo Sharkus, Christian Guzman, Rebecca Elliott

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

James KnightonDepartment of Natural Resources and the Environment, University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT 06269; james.knighton@uconn.edu.ORCID 0000-0002-4162-996X
Kelly HondulaThe National Socio-Environmental Synthesis Center, Annapolis, MD 21480.ORCID 0000-0002-1928-1442
Cielo SharkusCivil and Environmental Engineering, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003.ORCID 0000-0002-4049-5533
Christian GuzmanCivil and Environmental Engineering, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003.ORCID 0000-0002-5626-799X
Rebecca ElliottDepartment of Sociology, London School of Economics, London WC2A 2AE, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-6983-7026

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Flooding risk results from complex interactions between hydrological hazards (e.g., riverine inundation during periods of heavy rainfall), exposure, vulnerability (e.g., the potential for structural damage or loss of life), and resilience (how well we recover, learn from, and adapt to past floods). Building on recent coupled conceptualizations of these complex interactions, we characterize human-flood interactions (collective memory and risk-enduring attitude) at a more comprehensive scale than has been attempted to date across 50 US metropolitan statistical areas with a sociohydrologic (SH) model calibrated with accessible local data (historical records of annual peak streamflow, flood insurance loss claims, active insurance policy records, and population density). A cluster analysis on calibrated SH model parameter sets for metropolitan areas identified two dominant behaviors: 1) "risk-enduring" cities with lower flooding defenses and longer memory of past flood loss events and 2) "risk-averse" cities with higher flooding defenses and reduced memory of past flooding. These divergent behaviors correlated with differences in local stream flashiness indices (i.e., the frequency and rapidity of daily changes in streamflow), maximum dam heights, and the proportion of White to non-White residents in US metropolitan areas. Risk-averse cities tended to exist within regions characterized by flashier streamflow conditions, larger dams, and larger proportions of White residents. Our research supports the development of SH models in urban metropolitan areas and the design of risk management strategies that consider both demographically heterogeneous populations, changing flood defenses, and temporal changes in community risk perceptions and tolerance.

Indexed as

FloodsRisk-TakingRiversCitiesHumansHydrologyMemorySociologyTime FactorsUnited StatesWhite Peopleflood riskhydrologic modelinghydrologyinsurancesociohydrology

Identifiers

PMID33723010
PMCPMC8020782

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.