Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33722793›Full record

SynthesisBMJ global health2021

Evidence of the effectiveness of travel-related measures during the early phase of the COVID-19 pandemic: a rapid systematic review.

Karen Ann Grépin, Tsi-Lok Ho, Zhihan Liu, Summer Marion, Julianne Piper, Catherine Z Worsnop, Kelley Lee

Abstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in BMJ global health, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 60 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
60citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

60 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Guideline
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Karen Ann GrépinSchool of Public Health, University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam, Hong Kong kgrepin@hku.hk.ORCID 0000-0003-4368-0045
Tsi-Lok HoLi Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam, Hong Kong.ORCID 0000-0002-1430-8861
Zhihan LiuSchool of Public Health, University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam, Hong Kong.
Summer MarionSchool of Public Policy, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5407-6823
Julianne PiperFaculty of Health Sciences, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-8486-1745
Catherine Z WorsnopSchool of Public Policy, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3908-1085
Kelley LeeFaculty of Health Sciences, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-3625-1915

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo review the effectiveness of travel measures implemented during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic to inform changes on how evidence is incorporated in the International Health Regulations (2005) (IHR).

designWe used an abbreviated Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis Protocols to identify studies that investigated the effectiveness of travel-related measures preprinted or published by 1 June 2020.

resultsWe identified 29 studies, of which 26 were modelled. Thirteen studies investigated international measures, while 17 investigated domestic measures (one investigated both). There was a high level of agreement that the adoption of travel measures led to important changes in the dynamics of the early phases of the COVID-19 pandemic: the Wuhan measures reduced the number of cases exported internationally by 70%-80% and led to important reductions in transmission within Mainland China. Additional travel measures, including flight restrictions to and from China, may have led to additional reductions in the number of exported cases. Few studies investigated the effectiveness of measures implemented in other contexts. Early implementation was identified as a determinant of effectiveness. Most studies of international travel measures did not account for domestic travel measures thus likely leading to biased estimates.

conclusionTravel measures played an important role in shaping the early transmission dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic. There is an urgent need to address important evidence gaps and also a need to review how evidence is incorporated in the IHR in the early phases of a novel infectious disease outbreak.

Indexed as

Communicable Disease ControlCOVID-19TravelChinaGlobal HealthHumansPandemicsSARS-CoV-2control strategiesCOVID-19public healthsystematic review

Identifiers

PMID33722793
PMCPMC7969755

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.