Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33722340›Full record

ArticleeLife2021

The global burden of yellow fever.

Katy Am Gaythorpe, Arran Hamlet, Kévin Jean, Daniel Garkauskas Ramos, Laurence Cibrelus, Tini Garske, Neil Ferguson

Registry-linked trialOpen access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in eLife, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT06815835 (A Prospective, Randomized, Parallel, Three-arm, Open-label, Clinical Trial to Evaluate the Immunological Non-interference of Measles and Rubella Vaccine), which is not on this map. Cited by 92 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
92citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
19.2field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT06815835 phase3not yet recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2025, after this paper: background citation

A Prospective, Randomized, Parallel, Three-arm, Open-label, Clinical Trial to Evaluate the Immunological Non-interference of Measles and Rubella Vaccine (Live) I.P. (Freeze Dried) of M/s. Zydus Lifesciences Ltd. With Yellow Fever Vaccine Administered to Bangladeshi Healthy Infants Aged 9-12 Months

TypeinterventionalSponsorInternational Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, BangladeshRan2025 to 2026Enrolled1,530ConditionsMeasles, Rubella, Yellow FeverArmsMeasles-Rubella vaccine (Live) I.P. (Freeze Dried) of M/s. Zydus Lifesciences Ltd, Yellow fever Vaccine (WHO prequalified)
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

92 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 147 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
  5. Low-Dose Yellow Fever Vaccine in Adults in Africa.The New England journal of medicine · 2025
    Trial
  6. Trial
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Vector competence acrossJournal of virology · 2026
    Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Review
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

32 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 4 institutions in 4 countries.

Katy Am GaythorpeWHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Modelling, MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-3734-9081
Arran HamletWHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Modelling, MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Kévin JeanMaître de conférences, Laboratoire MESuRS - Cnam Paris, Paris, France.ORCID 0000-0001-6462-7185
Daniel Garkauskas RamosSecretariat for Health Surveillance, Brazilian Ministry of Health, Brasilia, Brazil.
Laurence CibrelusWorld Health Organisation, Geneva, Switzerland.
Tini GarskeWHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Modelling, MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Neil FergusonWHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Modelling, MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Imperial College London · GBConservatoire National des Arts et Métiers · FRMinistério da Saúde · BRWorld Health Organization · CH

Funding

Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation OPP1117543Medical Research Council MR/R015600/1World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Yellow fever (YF) is a viral, vector-borne, haemorrhagic fever endemic in tropical regions of Africa and South America. The vaccine for YF is considered safe and effective, but intervention strategies need to be optimised; one of the tools for this is mathematical modelling. We refine and expand an existing modelling framework for Africa to account for transmission in South America. We fit to YF occurrence and serology data. We then estimate the subnational forces of infection for the entire endemic region. Finally, using demographic and vaccination data, we examine the impact of vaccination activities. We estimate that there were 109,000 (95% credible interval [CrI] [67,000-173,000]) severe infections and 51,000 (95% CrI [31,000-82,000]) deaths due to YF in Africa and South America in 2018. We find that mass vaccination activities in Africa reduced deaths by 47% (95% CrI [10%-77%]). This methodology allows us to evaluate the effectiveness of vaccination and illustrates the need for continued vigilance and surveillance of YF.

Indexed as

Global Burden of DiseaseAfricaDisease OutbreaksGlobal HealthHumansMass VaccinationModels, TheoreticalSeroepidemiologic StudiesSouth AmericaSurveys and QuestionnairesVaccinationYellow FeverYellow Fever VaccineYellow Fever Vaccineepidemiologyglobal healthmathematical modellingvaccine impactvector-bornevirusyellow fever

Identifiers

PMID33722340
PMCPMC7963473
OpenAlexW3137114715

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.