Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33718751›Full record

ArticlePediatric quality & safety

Reducing Pediatric ED Length of Stay by Reducing Diagnostic Testing: A Discrete Event Simulation Model.

Kenneth W McKinley, James M Chamberlain, Quynh Doan, Deena Berkowitz

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Pediatric quality & safety. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Key performance indicators in emergency department simulation: a scoping review.Scandinavian journal of trauma, resuscitation and emergency medicine · 2025
    Article
  2. Discrete-Event Simulation Modeling in Healthcare: A Comprehensive Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
    Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Kenneth W McKinleyEmergency Medicine Section of Data Analytics, Children's National, Washington, D.C.
James M ChamberlainEmergency Medicine Section of Data Analytics, Children's National, Washington, D.C.
Quynh DoanDivision of Emergency Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, British Columbia Children's Hospital, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Deena BerkowitzEmergency Medicine Section of Data Analytics, Children's National, Washington, D.C.

Funding

Clinical and Translational Science Institute at Childrens NationalUL1TR001876 · NCATS · CHILDREN'S RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI BELL, MICHAEL J · 2016 to 2021
$25.6M
Clinical and Translational Science Institute at Childrens National-Mentored Career Development CoreKL2TR001877 · NCATS · CHILDREN'S RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI LUBAN, NAOMI L · 2016 to 2020
$2.0M
NCATS NIH HHS KL2 TR001877NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001876
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Quality improvement efforts can require significant investment before the system impact of those efforts can be evaluated. We used discrete event simulation (DES) modeling to test the theoretical impact of a proposed initiative to reduce diagnostic testing for low-acuity pediatric emergency department (ED) patients.

methodsWe modified an existing DES model, built at another large, urban, academic pediatric ED, to forecast the impact of reducing diagnostic testing rates on mean ED length of stay (LOS). The modified model included local testing rates for Emergency Severity Index (ESI) 4 and 5 patients and additional processes defined by local experts. Validation was performed by comparing model output predictions of mean LOS and wait times to actual site-specific data. We determined the goal reduction in diagnostic testing rates using the Achievable Benchmark of Care methodology. Model output mean LOS and wait times, with testing set at benchmark rates, were compared to outputs with testing set at current levels.

resultsDuring validation testing, model output metrics approximated actual clinical data with no statistically significant differences. Compared to model outputs with current testing rates, the mean LOS with testing set at an achievable benchmark was significantly shorter for ESI 4 (difference 19.1 mins [95% confidence interval 12.2, 26.0]) patients.

conclusionA DES model predicted a statistically significant decrease in mean LOS for ESI 4 pediatric ED patients if diagnostic testing is performed at an achievable benchmark rate compared to current rates. DES shows promise as a tool to evaluate the impact of a QI initiative before implementation.

Identifiers

PMID33718751
PMCPMC7952107

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.