Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33718046›Full record

ArticleTranslational lung cancer research2021

Performance of various risk prediction models in a large lung cancer screening cohort in Gdańsk, Poland-a comparative study.

Marcin Ostrowski, Franciszek Bińczyk, Tomasz Marjański, Robert Dziedzic, Sylwia Pisiak, Sylwia Małgorzewicz, Mariusz Adamek, Joanna Polańska, Witold Rzyman

Open access · diamondAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Translational lung cancer research, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
1.2field-weighted citation impact, top 21% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 13 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. From Lung Cancer Predictive Models toJournal of clinical medicine · 2026
    Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Recalibrating Risk Prediction Models by Synthesizing Data Sources: Adapting the Lung Cancer PLCO Model for Taiwan.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2022
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Marcin OstrowskiDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Medical University of Gdańsk, Gdańsk, Poland.
Franciszek BińczykFaculty of Automatic Control, Electronics and Computer Science, Silesian University of Technology, Gliwice, Poland.
Tomasz MarjańskiDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Medical University of Gdańsk, Gdańsk, Poland.
Robert DziedzicDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Medical University of Gdańsk, Gdańsk, Poland.
Sylwia PisiakDepartment of Non-Invasive Cardiac Diagnostics, Medical University of Gdańsk, Gdańsk, Poland.
Sylwia MałgorzewiczDepartment of Clinical Nutrition and Dietetics, Medical University of Gdańsk, Gdańsk, Poland.
Mariusz AdamekDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Medical University of Silesia, Katowice, Poland.
Joanna PolańskaFaculty of Automatic Control, Electronics and Computer Science, Silesian University of Technology, Gliwice, Poland.
Witold RzymanDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Medical University of Gdańsk, Gdańsk, Poland.
Gdańsk Medical University · PLSilesian University of Technology · PLMedical University of Silesia · PL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundOptimal selection criteria for the lung cancer screening programme remain a matter of an open debate. We performed a validation study of the three most promising lung cancer risk prediction models in a large lung cancer screening cohort of 6,631 individuals from a single European centre.

methodsA total of 6,631 healthy volunteers (aged 50-79, smoking history ≥30 pack-years) were enrolled in the MOLTEST BIS programme between 2016 and 2018. Each participant underwent a low-dose computed chest tomography scan, and selected participants underwent a further diagnostic work-up. Various lung cancer prediction models were applied to the recruited screenees, i.e., (I) Tammemagi's Prostate, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial 2012 (PLCO

resultsLung cancer was diagnosed in 154 (2.3%) participants. Based on the risk estimates by PLCO

conclusionsLung cancer screening enrollment based on the risk prediction models is superior to NCCN Group 1 selection criteria and offers a clinically significant reduction of screenees with a comparable proportion of detected lung cancer cases. Tammemagi's risk prediction model reduces the proportion of patients eligible for inclusion to a screening programme with a minimal loss of detected lung cancer cases.

Indexed as

low-dose computed tomographyLung cancerrisk prediction modelsscreening

Identifiers

PMID33718046
PMCPMC7947399
OpenAlexW3043365116

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.