Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33714951›Full record

ArticleAging2021

Accurate prediction of acute pancreatitis severity with integrative blood molecular measurements.

Hong-Wei Sun, Jing-Yi Lu, Yi-Xin Weng, Hao Chen, Qi-Ye He, Rui Liu, Hui-Ping Li, Jing-Ye Pan, Ke-Qing Shi

Open access · greenAbstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Aging, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.5field-weighted citation impact, top 19% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 10 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Acute pancreatitis: mechanisms and therapeutic approaches.Signal transduction and targeted therapy · 2026
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Hong-Wei SunDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang Province, China.
Jing-Yi LuSinglera Genomics Inc., San Diego, CA 92037, USA.
Yi-Xin WengKey Laboratory of Intelligent Critical Care and Life Support Research of Zhejiang Province, Department of Intensive Care, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang Province, China.
Hao ChenDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang Province, China.
Qi-Ye HeSinglera Genomics Inc., San Diego, CA 92037, USA.
Rui LiuSinglera Genomics Inc., San Diego, CA 92037, USA.
Hui-Ping LiDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang Province, China.
Jing-Ye PanKey Laboratory of Intelligent Critical Care and Life Support Research of Zhejiang Province, Department of Intensive Care, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang Province, China.
Ke-Qing ShiTranslational Medicine Laboratory, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang Province, China.
Wenzhou Medical University · CNFirst Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundEarly diagnosis of severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) is essential to minimize its mortality and improve prognosis. We aimed to develop an accurate and applicable machine learning predictive model based on routine clinical testing results for stratifying acute pancreatitis (AP) severity.

resultsWe identified 11 markers predictive of AP severity and trained an AP stratification model called APSAVE, which classified AP cases within 24 hours at an average area under the curve (AUC) of 0.74 +/- 0.04. It was further validated in 568 validation cases, achieving an AUC of 0.73, which is similar to that of Ranson's criteria (AUC = 0.74) and higher than APACHE II and BISAP (AUC = 0.69 and 0.66, respectively).

conclusionsWe developed and validated a venous blood marker-based AP severity stratification model with higher accuracy and broader applicability, which holds promises for reducing SAP mortality and improving its clinical outcomes. MATERIALS AND

methodsNine hundred and forty-five AP patients were enrolled into this study. Clinical venous blood tests covering 65 biomarkers were performed on AP patients within 24 hours of admission. An SAP prediction model was built with statistical learning to select biomarkers that are most predictive for AP severity.

Indexed as

Early DiagnosisMachine LearningAdultAgedAged, 80 and overBiomarkersFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPancreatitisBiomarkersmachine learningprediction of severitysevere acute pancreatitisvenous blood markers

Identifiers

PMID33714951
PMCPMC8034948
OpenAlexW3134926718

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.