Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33711066›Full record

Trial reportPloS one2021

Early post-partum viremia predicts long-term non-suppression of viral load in HIV-positive women on ART in Malawi: Implications for the elimination of infant transmission.

Megan Landes, Monique van Lettow, Joep J van Oosterhout, Erik Schouten, Andrew Auld, Thokozani Kalua, Andreas Jahn, Beth A Tippett Barr

Open access · goldAbstract readClinical TrialMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Trial report in PloS one, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
0.7field-weighted citation impact, top 27% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 14 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Accuracy of measures for antiretroviral adherence in people living with HIV.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2022
    Pooled it
  3. Trial
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 6 institutions in 4 countries.

Megan LandesDignitas International, Zomba, Malawi.
Monique van LettowDignitas International, Zomba, Malawi.ORCID 0000-0002-0679-285X
Joep J van OosterhoutDignitas International, Zomba, Malawi.
Erik SchoutenManagement Sciences for Health, Lilongwe, Malawi.
Andrew AuldCenters for Disease Control and Prevention, Lilongwe, Malawi.ORCID 0000-0001-5089-9163
Thokozani KaluaMinistry of Health, Lilongwe, Malawi.
Andreas JahnMinistry of Health, Lilongwe, Malawi.
Beth A Tippett BarrCenters for Disease Control and Prevention, Kisumu, Kenya.
University of Toronto · CACenters for Disease Control and Prevention · KEMinistry of Health · MWPublic Health Institute of Malawi · MWUniversity of California, Los Angeles · USUniversity of Washington · US

Funding

CGH CDC HHS U2G GH000721PEPFAR
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLong-term viral load (VL) suppression among HIV-positive, reproductive-aged women on ART is key to eliminating mother-to-child transmission (MTCT) but few data exist from sub-Saharan Africa. We report trends in post-partum VL in Malawian women on ART and factors associated with detectable VL up to 24 months post-partum.

methods1-6 months post-partum mothers, screened HIV-positive at outpatient clinics in Malawi, were enrolled (2014-2016) with their infants. At enrollment, 12- and 24-months post-partum socio-demographic and PMTCT indicators were collected. Venous samples were collected for determination of maternal VL (limit of detection 40 copies/ml). Results were returned to clinics for routine management.

results596/1281 (46.5%) women were retained in the study to 24 months. Those retained were older (p<0.01), had higher parity (p = 0.03) and more likely to have undetectable VL at enrollment than those lost to follow-up (80.0% vs 70.2%, p<0.01). Of 590 women on ART (median 30.1 months; inter-quartile range 26.8-61.3), 442 (74.9%) with complete VL data at 3 visits were included in further analysis. Prevalence of detectable VL at 12 and 24 months was higher among women with detectable VL at enrollment than among those with undetectable VL (74 detectable VL results/66 women vs. 19/359; p<0.001). In multivariable analysis (adjusted for age, parity, education, partner disclosure, timing of ART start and self-reported adherence), detectable VL at 24 months was 9 times more likely among women with 1 prior detectable VL (aOR 9.0; 95%CI 3.5-23.0, p<0.001) and 226 times more likely for women with 2 prior detectable VLs (aOR 226.4; 95%CI 73.0-701.8, p<0.001).

conclusionsDetectable virus early post-partum strongly increases risk of ongoing post-partum viremia. Due to high loss to follow-up, the true incidence of detectable VL over time is probably underestimated. These findings have implications for MTCT, as well as for the mothers, and call for intensified VL monitoring and targeted adherence support for women during pregnancy and post-partum.

Indexed as

Follow-Up StudiesHIV InfectionsPregnancy Complications, InfectiousAdultAnti-HIV AgentsFemaleHIV-1HumansInfantInfant, NewbornLongitudinal StudiesMalawiPostpartum PeriodPregnancyViral LoadViremiaAnti-HIV Agents

Identifiers

PMID33711066
PMCPMC7954347
OpenAlexW3135660772

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.